77: trippel barrel bluff vs strong range? (NL 100)

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77: trippel barrel bluff vs strong range? (NL 100)

CO: Player1: 95.50
BN: Player3: 107.10
SB: Player5: 204.90
BB: Player6: 79.60
UTG: Player8: 39
HJ: Hero: 208.70
Preflop (1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 7 7
Player8 folds, Hero raises to 3, Player1 calls 3, Player3 folds, Player5 folds, Player6 calls 2
Flop (9.50) 5 6 K (3 Players)
Player6 checks, Hero bets 5.70, Player1 calls 5.70, Player6 folds
Turn (20.90) 9 (2 Players)
Hero bets 15, Player1 calls 15
River (50.90) 2 (2 Players)

The BB is unknown the CO is a reg I know very well (7,5k hands).

He plays 23/19 with a 3bet of 7%. He plays pretty face up, and its often easy to narrow his range down.

His coldcalling range from the CO is 9% which should propably look like that, given that he only 3bets 2,2% from the CO:

QQ-55,AJs+,KJs+,QJs,JTs,AQo+,KQo and sometimes KK+


On the flop a x/fold is probably better, given that we are 3way, but as played Villain calls my bet. I am pretty shure, that he would not call here 66/55 ever, and would nearly always raise them.

Postflop stats:

- rasie cbet 12%

- F2 cbet f/t/r 48%/41%/80%


On the turn I decidet to barrel of, becasue I block the 87s combos and I would assume, that Villain is going to fold his KJs/KQ/AK combos on the river. On the one hand that does not rearly make sense, becasue Villain does not have 87s in his range at all, on the other hand I am pretty sure that I am always behind after his flopcall and he folds so much on the river.


What do you think?

How big would you bluff on the river?



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