77, lose river call?
Posted by Cozacu
Posted by
Cozacu
posted in
Low Stakes
77, lose river call?
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
SB: $17.77 (Hero)
BB: $23.60
UTG: $8.40
MP: $10.90
CO: $11.84
BN: $6.79
BB: $23.60
UTG: $8.40
MP: $10.90
CO: $11.84
BN: $6.79
Villain 27/22 144 HANDS, 17.6% 3bet from BB, 50% cbet 33%tcbet, 50% riv agg
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is SB with
7
7
, , , , ,
Given stack sizes and his huge 3b% in blind battle I figured I just have to call.
Flop
($2.30)
5
2
T
, ,
Quite good flop for our hand with only one over. I think calling here is fine as well, he will have a bunch of overs and some rubish in his range.
Turn
($5.10)
5
2
T
T
,
I`m glad he didn't fire turn.
River
($5.10)
5
2
T
T
5
, ,
Well... this sort of sucks but give his stacks, call price and the double paired board he might just try and bluff me off a chop or he hopes that I could fold A high if he`s got some KQ kind of hand.
Do you agree with calling river?
I know that I posted a somewhat similar hand (just board was not double paired), although villain probably less aggro, the majority I think said that this should be a fold because he will have plenty of JJ+ here that just slowed down on turn to value bet river.
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I would fold. Villain will likely xb all his Ahigh and he knows he can't get 3 streets of value with JJ+. It also depends on how much of his non-Ahigh hands he bets on the river because he probably checks some of them back aswell.
Given his wide preflop range, I am calling. I think we should bet the turn when he checks, we dont want him drawing free with his overcards.
We are first to act on turn, and he did cbet flop...
Oh my bad. Yea I still likely call, his squeeze range can be super wide here given a BTN opener and SB caller.
Fold turn. You have many TX combos in your range or medium pp that will often continue here. So if villain aint some kind of spewtard he knows that and will stop bluffing ott most of the time.
There is not bet on turn :|
Oh, my bad. Actually, that makes his river bet even stronger. Because if he put you on a ten when you call the flop, he will be afraid that his kk or aa gets checkraised ott and therefor potcontrols more. Ofc i am totally assuming your villain is a more tagish solid player.
Pre-flop, given's that BB is 3-bet almost 18% and probably squeezing alot, I think it is a good spot to 4-bet bluff your 7's. Given that you are both deep, I think the call is fine.
OTF, I like the call with only 1 over. OTT, when he checks back, I'm confident you have the best hand a majority of the time. OTR, I think his 1/2 pot bet is most likely a thin value bet / bluff with A-high. Getting 3:1 I'm never folding here, so good call. I think you easily win 25% of the time here.
So you're calling flop in hopes he doesn't bet turn, in which case you would fold I suppose? That's spewing money away.
Good point. I`m not folding 100% of turns vs a bet, depends what card hits as well. I'm still probably calling on 22-99, fold on higher cards.
How would you play it?
1.Fold PF and get ran over?
2.Check/raise flop and just hope he is totally full of crap and won't call?
3.What other options do we have?
You're very deep stacked so calling pre is ok to set mine.
On flop tho I will fold. He will double barrel all his made hands and every Q K A and clubs and then we have to fold. It's -EV in the long run to call his flop bet.
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