$75nl - AQs hitting fd on a low coordinated board

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$75nl - AQs hitting fd on a low coordinated board

Blinds: $2.00/$4.00 (5 Players) UTG: $586.51
CO: $395.81
BN: $483.43
SB: $406.67 (Hero)
BB: $485.06
This is played with swedish currency so and equals to $75nl approx.

Villain is a reg who doesn't like to fold to 3bets. Fold to 3bet is 36%. He 4bets 20%.
Preflop ($6.00) Hero is SB with A Q
UTG folds, CO raises to $10.00, BN calls $10.00, Hero raises to $44.00, BB folds, CO calls $34.00, BN folds
Flop ($102.00) 4 2 6
Hero bets $51.00, CO calls $51.00
What size would you make it here?
Turn ($204.00) 4 2 6 8
Hero bets $104.00, CO raises to $298.00
Don't know about sizing. What would you do here?

8 Comments

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Disharmonist 9 years, 11 months ago

Bet around 50-60% of the pot, but dont make it so goddamn obvious you bet on the smaller side :) He also cannot calulate his pot odds within a millisecond.

I like the double barrel but, as much as it hurts you cannot call the rais profitably unless you have a good reason to believe ace high might be good or you have more life outs than the flush only.

And please do not translate the currency. You look way cooler when ppl think you actually play NL 400.

sauloCosta10 9 years, 11 months ago

With this fold to 3-bet he is probably calling wide too OTF, so I'm not a fan of 3-betting this hand against this guy...his 4b % is big too, so unless you are willing to 5b shove if he 4b I think this hand plays a lot better as a flat. Are you 3b folding AQs here? As played, I'm not sure about the sizings...with that much equity I think we can profitably barrel for pot OTF and shove most turns. He will fold almost his entire range and when he calls we have plenty of equity. I don't know if betting on the smaller size is good OOP against a player that is very likely going to float us

LikeItGreen 9 years, 11 months ago

Preflop i think it is a good squezze if you have good players on the blinds, if not i'm just calling with AQs and SQZ with AQo, but obviously even if you have fishes on the blinds it is never bad to SQZ this hand.
Flop sizing i think it is ok i usually also use 50% on this type of pots.
Like the second barrel.
Now to shove or not on the turn, this is you real question given the money left behind, if you think that he will shove with things like TT-JJ you have 27% equity which is enough if you think that he only shove sets (i think he calls with 88 and even 66 here given his stats) you need to fold.

Samu Patronen 9 years, 11 months ago

Pretty close spot. We need approx. 25% equity to get it in here.

If villains range contains only sets, we can't call. I don't think that's the case, villain might not play every single set combination this way, and there are some worse flushdraws and occasional weird bluffs that villain could shove here. I wouldn't fold here, but it's quite close.

If villain shoves like JJ here we're definitely calling.

taaazz 9 years, 11 months ago

I'd also flat pre. Betting the turn is obv fine, but we could also consider XC vs an aggro guy (he's likely to barrel our equity).

As played, turn is close, but I probably wouldn't fold this hand.

And please do not translate the currency. You look way cooler when ppl think you actually play NL 400.

I know, right? :D

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