6max club 5€ PS.ES

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

6max club 5€ PS.ES

Blinds: t2,400/t4,800 (5 Players) BB: 279,876
UTG: 175,008
CO: 73,618
BN: 269,273 (Hero)
SB: 320,339
Preflop (7,200) Hero is BN with 9 9
2 folds, Hero raises to 9,600, SB raises to 28,400, BB folds, Hero calls 18,800
Flop (64,600) 6 7 8
SB checks, Hero bets 22,700, SB raises to 291,339 and is all in, Hero calls 217,573 and is all in
Turn (596,212) 6 7 8 A
River (596,212) 6 7 8 A 8
Final Pot BN lost and shows two pair, Nines and Eights.
SB wins and shows two pair, Jacks and Eights.
SB wins 545,146

30 left, sould fold there?

2 Comments

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belrio42 6 years ago

This seems to be a tournament hand, so you might want to try out the MTT forum.

In general, your opponent's line looks very strong. I would estimate that he either has an overpair, a strong flush draw, a set or two pair.

Against a range of TT+,88-66,87s,76s,AhKh,AhQh,KhQh,AhJh,KhJh,AhTh,KhTh,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ah7h,Ah6h,Ah5h,Ah4h,Ah3h,Ah2h

you only have 40% equity, and you need about 40% equity to call. So, from purely a chip EV perspective, this call is probably break-even.

However, since this is an MTT, there are ICM considerations. I don't have a great understanding of ICM, but in general you need to be a bit tighter when calling off in these cases (because the chips you lose are worth more than the chips you gain).

That factor would probably make this close decision a fold.

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