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600NL HU Turn Spot

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

600NL HU Turn Spot

Hero ($660) [KcTc]: Raise to $12
Villain ($980): calls $6
Flop (pot $23.68) Td7d5s
Villain checks
Hero bets $18
Villain raises to $61.50
Hero calls
Turn ($145) 4h
Villain bets $144
Hero?

We have $579 behind.
-This opponent is defending 90%, 3b 15%, c/r flop 13%, and has shown up in these kind of spots with a ton of FD's and SD's. Hasn't shown any pure air, but tends to c/r a ton of open enders and small flush draws. He does barrel off generally
-He has shown a pretty linear 3b range, so i think on the flop, we are only behind 55, 75, T5, T7. I think KT is actually one of my best bluff catchers as it blocks no diamonds/straight draws, but blocks a bunch of value hands (better then like AA). On the turn, 86 does get there though. He definitely has all combos of that.
-I dont think folding is reasonable. I will have 55, 77, TT, T7, T5, 75, T4, 86 but this seems to be the next best hand to have. Does anyone jam here? the river is very tough to play, and it really punishes him with diamonds draws like Q3dd 93dd 82dd 32dd k9dd k3dd q8dd q9dd. as well as straight draws 98, 64, Jd9x Jd8x. a lot of these hands will lose out on realization of equity, which is very bad for him.

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