5NLz - What to do OTR? AQs vs UTG

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5NLz - What to do OTR? AQs vs UTG

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $7.16
SB: $2.65
BB: $5.00 (Hero)
UTG: $5.12
MP: $5.43
CO: $4.85
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BB with A Q
UTG raises to $0.17, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.12
Flop ($0.36) 8 A J
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.24, Hero calls $0.24
Turn ($0.84) 8 A J 6
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.55, Hero calls $0.55
River ($1.94) 8 A J 6 4
Hero checks, UTG bets $1.28, Hero calls $1.28

Villain is on the tighter side PF, 19/15 over 300 hands. Therefor I elect to flat this PF, I don't think I'm ahead of his 3b/calling range.

Flop Cbet: 60, Turn Cbet: 83 WTSD: 30%

5 Comments

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ismaithliom 8 years, 1 month ago

I doubt a tight guy like this ever bets worse for value.
He can have AA, JJ, 88, AJ, A8, AK and AQ for value .
Only bluff I can see is KQ or maybe KTs if he has that pre. Unless this guy can turn TT, 99 etc into a bluff then I would fold river.
This is probably the top of your range as played on river except for a4s but I'm fine with folding.

Turn cbet freq is high but sample is small so it isn't a big deal

Tomasz K 8 years, 1 month ago

I think folding on the river is fine. It's not really top of your range, cuz you probably dont flat pre with hand like A9s against this nitty guy, so folding all single pairs on the river vs nit seems fine to me. My bottom calling range there is maybe AK with some frequency, and than hands like 2pair+.
Im not expecting to be exploited on this position vs nitreg if I fold too much OTR.

ismaithliom 8 years, 1 month ago

I Disagree that we are not at the top of our range.
With this high spr because it's a single raised pot, we will probably be raising all sets and strong 2 pair hands on flop or turn to set up for river shove.
We won't have j8o vs a 3.5x open so I can't see many better hands we have here with our line.

Tomasz K 8 years, 1 month ago

not really, spr doesnt force us to x/r sets on this board, moreover this guy bets pretty big otf and ott, so we dont need to x/r nuts on these streets.
Anyway, even if you are right and we x/r all of our nuts combos OTF or OTT it doesnt mean we have to call this hand OTR. Top of range in this spot, (positions, board texture, nl5 stake) isn't any important factor

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