5Knl Turn Value Jam Versus a Whale?
Posted by 5BetJam
Posted by 5BetJam posted in High Stakes
5Knl Turn Value Jam Versus a Whale?
Notes:
BTN: Hero ( Hyper laggy image - known to run some zero equity bluffs etc. ~ $6.3K)
SB: Agro Crusher (Good on theory and makes sound plays; respects my game, knows I respect his. ~ $11K)
BB: Weak Player (Whale-ish) (Calls with all sort of junk pre, randomly spazzes out with mediocre hands. Always says ' I put you on AK' when he wins with garbage. $5K)
Pre-Flop
I open KsTs $150, SB 3b $400, BB insta calls, I call within 4-5 secs. Here I assume that SB made such a small 3B to keep BB in with his gabage, so I either think he has AA/KK or some sort of AXss that has good playability post flop. I think he would 3B slightly bigger with 88-JJ because of how vulnerable they are post flop against two opponents. BB can have pretty much anything starting from 53o+.
Flop ($1.2K) : 3c Th 5h
Sb bets $680, BB insta calls. I make it 1.7K for protection/value. Continuing from my pre-flop assumption, I think if SB has AA/KK, he almost always bets bigger on this flop. If he is continuing with random AX hands, I'd rather him fold those now and take this pot. As for BB calling, I don't expect him to fold any FDs or Tx here. Maybe folds 66-88 though (unlikely). Anyways SB snap folds, BB tanks for ~20 secs, calls.
Turn ($5.2K): 5d
Stack sizes: Me ($4.2K), SB ($2.9K)
SB checks Hero??
Although I have given him a very weak range to get to the turn with, one can never be completely sure. Board pairing isn't optimal for me, since I think he now throws away all his flush draws to a jam. He has some 5s in his range, 53,54,56,57 which explains his long tank call on the flop. He probably throws away 66-88 too now if I jam (maybe not, putting me on fd or AK). He might show up with the odd JJ or QQ here that he decided to cold call 3B with pre for whatever reason and flat the flop :S.
Anyways the question is: Is this a clear value jam? I don't think he ever ever folds better than KT here but might call with worse putting me on AK once again. What do you guys think of betting super small to keep his hearts and smaller pairs in, or induce a jam with those hands? My image is probably crazy enough to get a call out of smaller pairs though if I do jam.
Thanks in advance for all the help!
- 5BetJam
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