5bet shove math
Posted by Charles St-Pierre
Posted by Charles St-Pierre posted in Mid Stakes
5bet shove math
Im trying to find an optimal % of 4bet bluffing in a specific situation, but im uncertain about certain things regarding the math of 5bet shoves.
---------------------
Hero open raise 3bb
Villain 3bet to 9bb
Hero 4bet to 21bb
At this point, if Villain folds to my 4bet, the hand result in a loss of 9bb for him (His 3bet). Thus, do I need to make the EV of his 5bet shove bluffs -9bb in order to make him indifferent between folding or 5bet shoving versus my 4bet ?
---------------------
Also, is this formula correct for calculating his 5bet shove EV ?
Notes:
1) No ante, Both players not in blinds positions, 100BB effective
2) Villain hand equity = 31%
3) Villain 5bet shove FE = 32.5%
4) Sizings as describe earlier
Formula:
(FE*POT) + (1-FE)*((EQUITY*WINNINGS) + (1-EQUITY*LOSSES)) = EV
(.325*31.5) + (.675)*((.31*110.5) + (.69*-91)) = -9.023625bb
---------------------
Thanks to those who choose to help.
Loading 6 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.