5/10 NLHE live, facing river donk
Posted by DirtyD
Posted by DirtyD posted in High Stakes
5/10 NLHE live, facing river donk
MP (villain: loose-passive fish) limps
BN (hero) raises to 50 w Tx9s, eff. stacks 2000
blinds fold, MP calls
Flop (115): Ks 4s 2x
MP checks, BN bets 60, MP calls
Turn (235): 8s
MP checks, BN bets 175, MP calls
River (585): 4x
MP bets 225, hero ?
Villain is a loose-passive fish who limps most suited and connected cards. He's mostly content to play fit or fold, often chasing draws to the river and then folding when he misses. We had a bit of recent history: I had 3bet him and bet-3bet the flop, getting a fold. He seemed to be getting annoyed/frustrated after not making it to showdown in a few hands.
I think T9o is roughly flipping against his limping range, and with initiative and position I think this is a solidly profitable iso. On a relatively dry high-low-low board I think a small-ish cbet will show a profit just folding out his air, although it might be better to cbet bigger to set up barrels and rep strong hands more credibly.
On the turn I think I can continue barreling profitably with the one-card flush draw since he peels flops so wide and he will give up with small pairs with no flush draw. I do expect him to call a lot with pair + flush draw, as well as all Kx, which means I should probably be barreling through on a lot of rivers.
When he leads the river with this sizing I think he usually has Kx, although 4x, small flushes, or something like 6x7s that's turning his hand into a weird bluff aren't out of the question. I can't remember seeing him face a raise in this type of situation, or lead rivers very often at all, so I have no idea if he'll bet-fold a K.
You face a lot more of these weird donk bets in live poker and I've been struggling figuring out the best way to react. I'm usually content to play pretty straightforwardly, telling myself they're value cutting themselves against my big hands and saving me bluffs when they should be check-calling, but maybe it's better to blow them off their hand more often when they bloat the pot with marginal hands and expose themselves to big bluffs.
Does anyone think this is a fist-pump raise? If you do raise, what sizing do you use? I think raising is probably a pretty good vacuum play and gets some information if he's going to be block-calling or block-folding, but in practice I often chicken out.
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