50Z river decision with 2pair
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor posted in Low Stakes
50Z river decision with 2pair
SB: $79.13
BB: $103.52 (Hero)
UTG: $23.25
MP: $88.11
CO: $56.46
Tanked for a while and timed out on the river but thought this was quite close in game. I was planning on the turn to be calling river up to 2/3p on good runnouts and this river is a total brick.
He can have the missed straight draws and flush draws as bluffs but don't think he is value betting worse here. I'd also get here with AT and quite a few better 2 pairs. Not really liking my blockers either and would prefer to bluff catch with a hand like KT instead. I ran the hand through GTO+ and it came up as QJo being close to neutral EV and that is even with IP barreling with a lot of low pairs and turning 7x into bluffs.
Vs this guy who seems on the tightish side and knowing that population will likely underbluff this spot for this sizing, can we make a fold?
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