50Z flopped gutshot and BDFD in 3bp OOP

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50Z flopped gutshot and BDFD in 3bp OOP

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $43.18
SB: $51.97 (Hero)
BB: $52.25
UTG: $50.00
MP: $50.00
CO: $50.75
BB is 25/21 over 500 hands. 9% BB 3bet, cbet flop 88% 3bp, 60% turn barrel, WWSF 41, river bet 32.
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is SB with J T
4 folds, Hero raises to $1.20, BB raises to $4.00, Hero calls $2.80
Flop ($8.00) 7 8 5
Hero checks, BB bets $2.51, Hero calls $2.51
Turn ($13.02) 7 8 5 4
Hero checks, BB bets $8.16, Hero folds

Thought this was an interesting hand for a few reasons. BB's sizing on the flop is unusual on this texture so wasn't sure in game how much we should be x/r'ing and ended up just x/c and x/f turn unimproved which I'm not sure is the most +ev line.

When i ran the hand through GTO+ it came out with some interesting lines - one of which was to be leading 80% of range on the turn on a 6 and 50% on a 9 (non-clubs). Even on this 4d turn, it plays a 25% leading strategy and this hand is more often a lead than not.

After all that I'm still not sure whether x/r this flop with this hand and barrel hearts vs this sizing is better than x/c and donk turn or x/c flop and x/f turn. This guy did seem quite barrel happy over this sample so maybe x/r might be the more +EV in a vacuum although donking turn isn't something i have really considered before.

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