50Z flopped gutshot and BDFD in 3bp OOP
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor posted in Low Stakes
50Z flopped gutshot and BDFD in 3bp OOP
SB: $51.97 (Hero)
BB: $52.25
UTG: $50.00
MP: $50.00
CO: $50.75
Thought this was an interesting hand for a few reasons. BB's sizing on the flop is unusual on this texture so wasn't sure in game how much we should be x/r'ing and ended up just x/c and x/f turn unimproved which I'm not sure is the most +ev line.
When i ran the hand through GTO+ it came out with some interesting lines - one of which was to be leading 80% of range on the turn on a 6 and 50% on a 9 (non-clubs). Even on this 4d turn, it plays a 25% leading strategy and this hand is more often a lead than not.
After all that I'm still not sure whether x/r this flop with this hand and barrel hearts vs this sizing is better than x/c and donk turn or x/c flop and x/f turn. This guy did seem quite barrel happy over this sample so maybe x/r might be the more +EV in a vacuum although donking turn isn't something i have really considered before.
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