50Z call or jam in 3bp vs weird line
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor
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frontdoorbackdoor
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Low Stakes
50Z call or jam in 3bp vs weird line
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players)
BN: $55.64 (Hero)
SB: $63.30
BB: $180.75
UTG: $40.44
MP: $50.00
CO: $93.60
SB: $63.30
BB: $180.75
UTG: $40.44
MP: $50.00
CO: $93.60
UTG and BB are both recreationals. BB is 26/17 with 9% 3b over 100 hands. Have seen him cold call 3bet with JJ before.
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is BN with
J
A
, , , , ,
Flop
($11.50)
2
J
3
, ,
Turn
($19.50)
2
J
3
7
, ,
3betting to iso UTG and because BB is somewhat aggro rec so would expect to be squeezed often.
Flop lead is interesting but think we just call because he can be doing this with better as well as merged stuff that folds to raise. Turn betting 1/3p to deny equity and to get value from worse pairs, maybe could have sized up though?. Vs the x/r however, wasn's sure whether to just jam or call. We keep some of his spazz in by calling and only bad rivers are hearts, K or Q without clubs. If we call theres just under a 1/2p bet on the river.
Jamming does deny equity with his 89, 9T or heart draws and guess he can sometimes have worse value hands like Jx but he also has some amount of sets and overpairs.
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Eh, but are they cold-calling this wide? JJ is one thing but I don't know how many draws villain has here other than AhXh.
This feels very AhXh/77 to me.
Against that range, we're winning, but as I think about it (and read your thinking about it) it seems like there are more arguments for calling than jamming: primarily, you can keep some villain bluffs in for blank/club rivers.
This is interesting and you might be right. It would be somewhat useful to have a cold call 3bet stat. Obv not a huge sample, but if he called more than a few times out of 100 hands, we can assume he's calling lighter
Just call. Probably you are going to iso vs better combos when shoving.
And you don't need protection. You have TPTK+NFD.
Keep his bluffs.
i would just raise flop. My reason behind it, we lose only to few hands(slowplays pre mostly) and his sizing is rather small, vs bigger size I would call and turn myself into bluffcatching mode. On the other hand when he bet smallish, he obviously still have nuts in his range but as well can have TT,99, FD or just JT. Don't need to pile huge raise tho.
Turn I would definitely go bigger 1/2 4/7, he looks weak and I think PP will still call 1/2 type of size because too many FD out there
I would open up the HUD and see what it tells me. Basically I'm looking for stats that indicates me what action is likely OTT. For example, I have a lot of fishes how donks 70% OTF but shut down OTT, at the same times I have who donks flop the same % and continue to fire OTT. Vs the former I'd like to raise since I expect to put money when ahead and get called a ton. Vs the latter I prefer raise the turn
i would call flop bet/call turn and reevaluate river. the turn card doesnt change much, and you bet small sometimes villain thinks your bluffing with small bet. and you still have good card.
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