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50NLz Cbet Spot in MW Pot

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

50NLz Cbet Spot in MW Pot

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $214.20
SB: $50.00
BB: $86.79
UTG: $84.28
MP: $266.39 (Hero)
CO: $22.36
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is MP with 4 4
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, CO folds, BN calls $1.50, SB folds, BB calls $1.00
Flop ($4.75) 8 7 4
BB checks, Hero bets $3.47, BN raises to $7.00, BB folds, Hero calls $3.53
Turn ($18.75) 8 7 4 3
Hero checks, BN bets $8.00, Hero calls $8.00
River ($34.75) 8 7 4 3 6
Hero checks, BN checks
Final Pot MP wins and shows three of a kind, Fours.
MP wins $33.01
Rake is $1.74

I've been thinking about these kind of spots recently, but I still can't come up with a solid answer. If it was HU to the flop, hero OOP, I would check my range but I'm not sure how BB overcalling should affect our strategy. Like we still want to protect our x range, but we have more incentive to deny equity (esp w JJ-99) and BTN's stabbing frequency decreases. How would you suggest creating our ranges in these spots, maybe using this one as an example.

My guess is checking 100% on this flop is the correct answer as now we have two ranges which can have the nuts in to worry about.

Bonus Q: If being MW doesn't affect our strategy for this board, what flops do we see the greatest changes?
Really interested in peoples thoughts, just say whatever I just want to start a discussion.

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