50NL ZOOM: Riverspot TPTK valuebet or not?

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50NL ZOOM: Riverspot TPTK valuebet or not?

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $30.48
SB: $155.60
BB: $37.27
UTG: $50.00
MP: $107.22 (Hero)
CO: $52.00
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is MP with K A
UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 4 folds
Flop ($3.75) 2 5 6
UTG bets $2.35, Hero calls $2.35
Turn ($8.45) 2 5 6 K
UTG bets $5.75, Hero calls $5.75
River ($19.95) 2 5 6 K Q
UTG checks

Villain is a pretty passive reg.
EP RFI: 18
c-bet: 48
Turn c-bet: 78
River c-bet: 00
WTSD: 22
W$SD: 56

7 Comments

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Pokerlogical 8 years, 11 months ago

With this low Aggression he is that guy that could Play AA or KQ this way or Even a Set. And only Hand that can Pay you Off is KJs so nah I Would Checkbehind and expect to be good like 60+% of The Time.

kafrinius 8 years, 11 months ago

why not 3betting pre vs an "easy to go" passive reg??

His turn cbet is super high( prop double barreling scary cards with any range???? like this turn K ??? ) dont know his over stats
but we can maybe could take a small value bet on river... Could be get called by KJs,KTs,AQ,leveled JJ, depending our image ...

SpaceTiming 8 years, 11 months ago

I believe you should going for value most of the times when he checks on this river as the range that is going to pay you off is quite wide (KJ K10 AQ K9s) and sometimes JJ or TT. I don't really like to check back AK very often.

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