50nl Zoom Hand

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

50nl Zoom Hand

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: $51.82 (Hero)
SB: $131.78
BB: $42.28
UTG: $50.00
MP: $42.78
CO: $50.75
UTG was a 33/26 at the time but only 50 hands. He probably has me at about 25/21 with a 10ish 3bet.
Preflop ($0.75) Hero is BN with 7 7
UTG raises to $1.25, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.25, 2 folds
Flop ($3.25) K 3 9
UTG checks, Hero checks
Turn ($3.25) K 3 9 6
UTG bets $0.77, Hero calls $0.77
River ($4.79) K 3 9 6 4
UTG checks, Hero checks

I have a history of being the kind of guy that turns any two cards into a bluff if I sense any weakness from my opponent and I feel I have been relatively successful at realizing where my opponent was at in his range and taking advantage at it. However, I have only recently moved over to Poker Stars and even at 50 nl can tell the competition is (on average) tougher than you might find at 200nl on some other sites, meaning I just can't barrel like crazy just because I think they are weak. So, i am putting a lot of thought and effort into trying to come up with more balanced ranges and I think I am trying to change too much at once and am running into spots where I am over doing it or maybe just missing the core concepts completely. This hand might be an example of me over doing it so I figured I would post it and see what you guys thought.

I have 33, 99, AK (I don't always 3bet AK on the btn vs ugt opens), KQ, and KJ in my range against a guy opening this wide (lets just say he turns out to be as aggressive as his stats suggest and it doesn't decrease a whole lot by position). When he checks he is repping hands like KJ, QQ, JJ, 9x, pocket pairs under the 9, Ax, and check folds. So in this spot, once this guy checks to me on this flop, old me would just start betting planning to bet all 3 on most run outs except maybe a 9 on the turn or river and expect the hands to never get to showdown.

Now, I am starting to think, "Well if I just start betting any two when checked to, my opponents can start ck-calling me down, or some combinations of ck-calls and ck-raises very lightly and be very profitable. I can have a lot of bluffs here since I have quite a few value bets but let's pick hands that have more equity when called or have no chance at winning at showdown."

So the questions are.

Is this a spot where I should be thinking like that or once he checks is this a spot where I have the green light to go nuts? At this point he doesn't know me. He doesn't have any reason to be slow-playing me or going for light call downs imo.

Let's say you feel this is a spot where we need to have a balanced barreling as well as checking strategy here. What hands are we betting and planning to barrel here? What hands are we checking?

Once the flop goes check-check, I feel I am committed to trying to get to showdown as cheaply as possible with my exact hand (even more so after I just call the small turn bet). Do you think that is the case or are there any different lines you see?

Thanks in advance for any feedback.

3 Comments

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lion777 8 years, 4 months ago

I think the hand is WP.
Occasionally I think he will show up with like 88/TT/JJ, 9x for value that we lose to, and like 55, 3x/6x/Ax that we beat.

I don’t like betting flop w/ this hand since we are basically targeting like 9x, TT-QQ, Kx to fold which would often require multiple barrels against un unknown opponent.

The hands that he is x/f flop is prob something like 65s, A2s etc. which doesn’t improve that often against us.

This is a good flop spot to bet hands like JT/QT/QJ where we can continue betting turn/river and we have also can bluff if the flush draw gets there.

Tomasz K 8 years, 4 months ago

;tldr;
Playing against reg with only 50hand stats -just play like a std spot vs unkown reg. I assume that typical nl50 reg dont care about 10ish 3bet after 50 hands.
for me it's wp

CheaterBot 8 years, 4 months ago

Thanks for taking the time to reply guys. Do either of you play these stakes zoom on stars? If so, what range do you think the average reg is willing to check call down all three on this type of run out?

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