50nl, TPGK on a flushy turn vs volatile
Posted by MatoStar
Posted by MatoStar posted in Low Stakes
50nl, TPGK on a flushy turn vs volatile
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (8 Players)
MP+1: $20.49
CO: $31.03
BN: $50.00
SB: $43.11
BB: $49.25
UTG: $66.99
UTG+1: $31.12
MP: $50.00 (Hero)
CO: $31.03
BN: $50.00
SB: $43.11
BB: $49.25
UTG: $66.99
UTG+1: $31.12
MP: $50.00 (Hero)
39/10 51
Preflop
($0.75)
Hero is MP with
Q
K
, , , ,
Flop
($5.25)
3
K
9
, ,
Turn
($11.25)
3
K
9
6
,
he has 25.87$ behind. It sucks when we bet and he shoves. But arent we losing one street of value by checking? But vs most of our bets, his possible raise would be shove.
So I see 3 decent options:
1. Check back (bluffcarch river or bet if he checks) - losing less against his made hands, but also earning less vs his KJ,KT,Kxs (thats actually not that many combos) so it seems llke a best option to me, since from 9x and worse we will barely get more than street of value at this point.
2. Bet/call 2/3 of the pot and basically continue w b/b/b plan from the flop. We get max value from his Kx and some AcXx type of hands, but will lose whole stack vs flushes.
3. Bet/fold w 1/5-1/4 sizing. This might becomes pretty exploitable if we assume that he raises only made hands. There is a potential to lose less money vs made hands and earn more against Kx and worse. I mean this option has the biggest potential to be the most and less profitable at the same time :D
So I see 3 decent options:
1. Check back (bluffcarch river or bet if he checks) - losing less against his made hands, but also earning less vs his KJ,KT,Kxs (thats actually not that many combos) so it seems llke a best option to me, since from 9x and worse we will barely get more than street of value at this point.
2. Bet/call 2/3 of the pot and basically continue w b/b/b plan from the flop. We get max value from his Kx and some AcXx type of hands, but will lose whole stack vs flushes.
3. Bet/fold w 1/5-1/4 sizing. This might becomes pretty exploitable if we assume that he raises only made hands. There is a potential to lose less money vs made hands and earn more against Kx and worse. I mean this option has the biggest potential to be the most and less profitable at the same time :D
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