50NL : top 2 on interesting board

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50NL : top 2 on interesting board

BN: $48.25
SB: $71.96
BB: $72.24
UTG: $65.86 (Hero)
HJ: $94.01
CO: $31.50
Preflop ($0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
Hero raises to $1.50, HJ calls $1.50, CO calls $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $1
Flop ($6.25) A J K (4 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, HJ calls $3.50, CO folds, BB folds
Turn ($13.25) A J K J (2 Players)
Hero bets $6.70, HJ calls $6.70
River ($26.65) A J K J 8 (2 Players)
I know i shud go bigger on flop & turn, sometimes i just dont think and smash the 52% pot button, i played this hand readless so i'm not gonna give any stats that i didn't have.

think river is fairly interesting and turn is debatable although i lean strongly towards a bet

7 Comments

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wuwei 11 years, 11 months ago
I also think that it's hard to get value from worse OTR. I was considering wether x/r > x/f. According to my perception of villain's range, we basically get value from hands like AxQh and KxQh OTT. These may realize that they don't have much showdown value and decide to bluff. Also, Jx is potentially betting for value (?), but cannot call a x/raise. Even a hand like KJ becomes a pure bluff catcher. In addition, I think the rather small bet OTT can be perceived to be consistent with a hand like top boat that tries to keep draws and weaker made hands in. But maybe x/r is just spew.
BigFiszh 11 years, 11 months ago
x/r the river is a very nice idea.

The turnbet though is much thinner than it looks like, imho. You said, we´re betting to get value from AxQh, KxQh, you realized those are 4 combos total, right? I´d say there are like 3-4x as many Jx and flush combos in Villains range ...
wuwei 11 years, 11 months ago
I was thinking about the river, as played. I also think the turn bet is thin. What's your preferred line on the turn?
James Hudson 11 years, 11 months ago
The turn bet seems pretty opponent specific but I definitely can't see the river being a value bet against anyone but the biggest stations. The fact that it was 4 ways to the flop seriously hurts your ability to get thin value.
Cina F 11 years, 11 months ago
cheers what kinda numbers would you look at on your opponents HUD to determine if turn is a bet or not, except bet in chcked toIP on turn which is usually a really low or 0 sample for me most of the time?

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