50NL River decision near top of my range

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50NL River decision near top of my range

Blinds: $0.25/$0.50 (6 Players) BN: sutata: $50.00
SB: jessie999999: $50.13
BB: iiSouL: $50.00 (Hero)
UTG: FranSanz88: $90.63
MP: Desisz: $93.94
CO: Capushilo: $84.18
Preflop ($0.75) iiSouL is BB with Q K
3 folds, sutata raises to $1.00, jessie999999 folds, iiSouL calls $0.50
I sometimes 3bet or call, i chose to just flat this time.
Flop ($2.25) 7 Q 5
iiSouL checks, sutata bets $1.59, iiSouL calls $1.59
Turn ($5.43) 7 Q 5 T
iiSouL checks, sutata bets $4.21, iiSouL calls $4.21
River ($13.85) 7 Q 5 T A
iiSouL checks, sutata bets $10.45, iiSouL folds
Final Pot sutata wins $13.23
Rake is $0.62
So I think im near the top of my range considering how wide im going to call pre. There aren't THAT many value combos i think he bets for this sizing, He's repping AQ, the KJ straight which I block. I dont think he bets just an Ax on this river for this sizing it seems a little thin. And there are so many draws that have no showdown value still that bet this turn and it seems like a decent river card to bluff.
I just don't see me getting here with much stronger hands this this.

Nitty Fold? It seems more like a call in hindsight, in game i just folded a little too quickly when the board got so scary idk.

6 Comments

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Koala 10 years, 4 months ago

What's btn's stats like? Is he capable of three barrelling draws?
You do lose to his Axcc draws which got there on the river but beat all his busted fd without A and sd like 64,68,89.
Without history or read I fold river.

Tyler Forrester 10 years, 4 months ago

Default probably is to call this river against a button opener. He's got plenty of possible bluffs with 98o, J9o now in his range.

I get 40% equity if we give him all of 90% of his bluffs and A2s+ for value.

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