[50NL] Monster combo draw 220bb deep multiway

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[50NL] Monster combo draw 220bb deep multiway

BN: SW_KaiZR: $170.35
SB: DON JUAN6865: $35.12
BB: Elliott8888: $177.12
HJ: ded3000: $111.10
CO: apalia777: $40.37
Preflop ($0.75) (5 Players)
SW_KaiZR was dealt T 9
ded3000 raises to $11.50, apalia777 calls $1.50, SW_KaiZR calls $1.50, DON JUAN6865 folds, Elliott8888 raises to $34.50, ded3000 calls $3, apalia777 folds, SW_KaiZR calls $3
Flop ($55.75) 8 7 2 (3 Players)
Elliott8888 bets $7.50, ded3000 raises to $17.50, SW_KaiZR calls $25, Elliott8888 folds
Turn ($105.75) 8 7 2 9 (2 Players)
ded3000 bets $81.50, and is all in, SW_KaiZR calls $81.50
River ($268.75) 8 7 2 9 8 (2 Players)
Final Pot
ded3000 has 8 7 SW_KaiZR has T 9 ded3000 wins $233.75
Thought this was an interesting spot, reads i have on players are utg is agro tag, CO is a huge drooler, BB is fishy TAG. I call preflop here b/c of CO drooler looking to play in position, when BB sqz's i expect his range to be fairly wide still given his 3B of 16% out of BB, his sizing and timing.

On the flop i felt utg's range is goin to be 2 pairs, sets, and some big combo flush draws, not sure he plays the nut flush draw this fast (although could be wrong), my question is, is it better to flat the flop here or to just ship it??

edit: btw HH converter has a glitch or sumin, Eliot888 squeeze sizing is $4.50 (not $34.50) all the pot sizes are wrong aswell, so heres a link to weaktight HH... http://weaktight.com/5170603

6 Comments

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bossman 12 years, 3 months ago
on the flop being that deep if we ship we need our FE to be around 40% or more to be profitable vs his calling range. i doubt that we can have that much as action went to be it +EV

Looks like calling is lot better here.
Ace 12 years, 3 months ago
Yeah with flop action I think utg has a set more often than a nut flush draw. Generally at 50nl people play nutflush draws way too passive IP deep i've found.
With that in mind, I think call flop fold turn is much better. Once he slightyl overships turn your pair of 9's is rarely relevant and without stoving it I'd guess he needs a nfd or AA quite a lot to make it a call (assuming he has all set combos which I think is a reasonable assumption deep)

Just stoved it and you have 41% vs (2 combos of AA, two combos of KK, all sets, 87s 65ss AKss AQss) which i don't think is a majorly optimistic range so calling is okay I guess.
Sean Lefort 12 years, 3 months ago
Played it perfectly. There's far more value in keeping the BB in the pot on the flop than shutting a lot of his hands out with a raise that shouldn't have much fold equity and gets you in as a flip a lot of the time. The turn is a call... needing ~35% equity and a quick stove has us at 39-43% depending on how you weight his range. WP
Dan Quinn 12 years, 3 months ago
Hi SW,

Do you mind forwarding the raw HH to support@runitonce.com? We'll take a look and get that raise sizing glitch cleaned up ASAP.

Thanks!
John Mackay 12 years, 3 months ago
yh that was my main reason for CC otf to keep in fish in the bb, thanks for the feedback Sean. Dan i have shipped the HH to you via email
Parker Muir 12 years, 3 months ago
Calling the turn here is the best. You know that it's +$EV already, but then on top of that you get some adrenaline EV with the thrill of trying to bink. Wheeeeee.

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