50nl FR Zoom vs winning reg (Top set facing turn check raise & river jam on Jc2h3h 4d 8h)
Posted by Matt Heap
Posted by
Matt Heap
posted in
Low Stakes
50nl FR Zoom vs winning reg (Top set facing turn check raise & river jam on Jc2h3h 4d 8h)
SB: $68.12
BB: $113.73
UTG: $119.72
UTG1: $38.72
UTG2: $119.23
LJ: $50
HJ: $63.60
CO: $98.78 (Hero)
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, UTG2 folds, LJ folds, HJ raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Villain is winning reg playing who plays mostly 50&100nl FR, running 18/13/4 over 3.5k hands, and turn skip c-bet and chk raise 20% (10). I'm wondering whether I've misplayed this hand. I know I could 3b pre, but there were a few recreational players behind, and wouldn't mind one of those in the pot too.
Raising the flop is an option but given we have the board crushed, I felt it would be optimal to let him barrel any bluffs he has in his range and evaluate on the turn. Is this wrong?
Just wondering if he has much else in his range besides all the 56 & A5 combos?
AXhh?
22, 33 & 44's?
Maybe even QQ, KK & AA?
He snap jammed the river and wondering whether I made the correct fold?
Would jamming the turn be bad? He has 9 combinations of 22, 33, & 44, plus 4 combos of AXhh (AK, AQ, AT, A4) that we beat and still have 25% equity if we are beat?
Thanks in advance.
Loading 3 Comments...
What is your image?
I would ship the turn, if he has 65s or A5s then good for him, but I think hes going to have enough worse sets or the occasional semi bluff or AA that its +EV, and id rather just ship it than call and end up seeing some crappy river that I talk myself into hero folding on. If he has every 65s and A5s, 2 combos of semi bluffs, and 1 combo of AA and 1 combo of 44, its breakeven.
All that said it is nit ring, so if he doesnt play anything but the nuts like this (which is why your image comes into play), then you played it fine.
I wouldn't fold here. I either jam the turn, or call turn and call most rivers. He's repping only 65 and A5 and he could be playing 22 and 33 like this.
Your perceived range here should contain many flushes; taking that into account, his line is insane. Even if xr turn with 56/A5, he should be a little hesitant about jamming river but maybe he is comfortable jamming Ah5x. I think we should put the money in on the turn when his range still contains many lower sets. Once he jams the river, he probably has you beat more often than not.
Be the first to add a comment