50NL flat JJ then face squeeze and call

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50NL flat JJ then face squeeze and call

This might be a trivial spot but wanted to do a check up anyway.

Cake Poker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: $160.46 (320.9 bb)
MP: $54.80 (109.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $106.90 (213.8 bb)
BTN: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
SB: $15.85 (31.7 bb)
BB: $35 (70 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Jd Jc
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.75, Hero calls $1.75, BTN raises to $5.75, 2 folds, MP calls $4, Hero raises to $106.90 and is all-in

MP is 23/19/323 50% fold to 3b
BTN is 25/20/9 0% 3b
SB is 32/32/50 18% 3b
I'm 23/21/76 9% 3b

I decide to flat bc of the SB. He has a high 3b% and could easily shove here with 30bb. I also felt that since the SB only had 30bbs my 3b would be perceived as stronger than normal and therefore I wouldn't be thrilled about getting 4b.

I had no idea about BTN's sizing since this is his first 3b. Once MP flats I know that I am crushing his range. My hand is disguised and I think it looks much weaker by shoving vs backraising where I'd look committed anyways.

Easy shove?

5 Comments

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Aleksandra ZenFish 12 years, 2 months ago
Well inducing a 3 bet by small blind sounds like a very good idea but would work out lousy to play jacks with 3 people in hand at least, MP and small blind at least who obv you suspected correctly will call, and as when it comes back to you, you have a person that has zero 3 bet stats 3 betting you so shoving doesnt seem as bestest possible solution, but maybe 5 bet to 12 or so would be good to determine if button has aa kk , if he shoves i think u can safely fold
Michael Schlegel 12 years, 2 months ago
Due to the small sizing of the squeeze I feel as though MP will flat with close to all of his PPs as well as the fact that we can discount some QQ+ as they'd 4b a good % of the time.

I have only 9 hands for the BTN the stats are worthless.
flatbreadpizza 12 years, 2 months ago
Yea I think it's pretty silly to use his 3bet stat here. If his 3bet was 20% from all positions there is still a 14% chance that his 3bet stat would be 0 after 9 hands. Unless we think that the player pool is made up of mostly nits we can't condition on the 0% 3bet and assume he isn't 3betting much.

I like the play. I think we get a ton of value from the cutoff who can easily find a call with TT 99 or AQ here, and we protect our hand.

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