50NL AA deep 4b pot and tough river spot
Posted by mbaha10
Posted by
mbaha10
posted in
Low Stakes
50NL AA deep 4b pot and tough river spot
https://www.weaktight.com/h/58433198d39043fc508b4841
V - 1.8K hands, 30/24, 3B 9, 3b OTB 6, 3B v CO Open 7, F3b 57, F4b 38, flop cbet 76. Got him tagged as aggro reg. One of my reads on him was that he likes to get aggressive when he senses weakness, like stabbing frequently when you miss cbet (float stat is 80), hence why I checked OTF to give him a chance to barrel off. All sets in his range when raises OTT, but I thought my line looked very weak and based on my specific read on this particular Villain I went with it. Thoughts? Too light calling here both OTT and OTR?
I guess what I'm trying to say is that I know this should be a fold because based on my experience at the site and stake I play at as well as general player pool tendencies where this is almost always a set, but is my read good enough to call down?
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Good board for your range, and whatever it is, I don't think you can go wrong c-betting all of it. Nobody knows what an optimal cold 4B range looks like, but I doubt you are overly heavy on the bluffs, so you should be able to bet range unexploitably.
Checking to induce seems optimistic. You assume Villain will stab/spew in a 4B pot vs a very strong range. That's much different from stabbery in SRP and 3BP, and seems too strong of an assumption to make here.
Yeah, regs imho like fishes, tend to call more than bet themselves, especially as you said, vs strong ranges. I used to check a lot in these spots, realizing the hand would go check/check to the river and I lost much value by not betting
Thanks for the comment ZenFish.
if you think villain is capable of attacking when he sense you are weak you probably have to cry call river as played. he will have most sets maybe not 33. He can also have 56s if he recognises stack depth and positions.
Honestly I wouldn't mind check calling 3 streets with AA exactly against this villain type, you give him max chance to bluff and value town himself with hands like JJ QQ, AKs, AKo. There are very few scare cards and action killing cards on this run out. I also dont think this value cuts yourself with him checking down weak SDV if he is as aggro as you say.
Why check flop?
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