50/100 - Turning AK into a bluff?

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50/100 - Turning AK into a bluff?

Me and a friend are currently discussing a hand that he recently played in a 50/100 cash game our local casino.
Effective stacks are 14000.
HERO (my friend) is UTG with AhKs and raises to 400.
Older man who just sat down at the table for one 1 orbit makes it 1200. (Doesn't seem like the guy to be 3betting light)
HERO, call.
Flop KQ5hh, hero check, villain 1800, hero call.
Turn 3s, hero check, villain 3400, hero call.
River 2h, hero jams.

Question now goes; my friends thinks this is a good play, however I believe it's pretty bad. Imo there is no need to turn such strong hand into a bluff.
What do you guys think?

4 Comments

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1tufftwinky 8 years, 1 month ago

Not a good play. Unless I am missing something I don't see the average recreational player folding any better hands to a half pot lead here?...

jpg7n16 8 years, 1 month ago

Well it's a bit odd but I think it comes down to hero thinking there is more fold equity from repping the nut flush (with nut blocker) + equity against the range that fires twice and gives up, than there is equity of AK vs opps river betting range

So my guess is that your friend felt there was enough equity to call turn planning on using any heart as a bluff and hoping to check it down on any non heart. Prob assuming he's beat if a non heart hits and villain shoves. (Opp could easily have KK, QQ, AK)

But that opp might barrel twice with 88+, AQ+ and give up on many river cards.

Maybe it's true at his level that shoving on the Heart river gets extra folds from AA or AK, or that it prevents him from getting 3barrel bluffed Off his hand, but I don't know that's enough to be worth it at mine.

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