50 NL ZOOM: Turn spot in 3-bet pot.
Posted by chasing_paper
Posted by
chasing_paper
posted in
Low Stakes
50 NL ZOOM: Turn spot in 3-bet pot.
BN: $53.39
SB: $64.54
BB: $78.75
UTG: $102.59
HJ: $50.50 (Hero)
CO: $156.83
SB: $64.54
BB: $78.75
UTG: $102.59
HJ: $50.50 (Hero)
CO: $156.83
Preflop
($0.75)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
T
9
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.25, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3.25
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.25, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3.25
Flop
($9.75)
T
2
A
(2 Players)
BB bets $5,
Hero calls $5
Turn
($19.75)
T
2
A
3
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero checks
opponent: (100h) 22/16, agg: 16, 3-bet from bb= 22, 3-b vs MP=33(9), c-bet = 67, turn c-bet= 33
in my eyes the flop call is normal here,can't find fold and don't now why i should raise with 2nd pair backdoor FD.
But my Turn decision given his range i realy don't now if i should have bet here or if the check is the best decision?
anyone some oppinions?
Another question: is this a good spot to use CREV here? i'm doubting to get it but seems a litle hard to work with:-)
Loading 2 Comments...
100 hands is nothing to go off, i wouldn't even bother looking at the stats, apart from vpip, 3bet and PFR, the will be the only stats that can give you a quick idea of what villain may be like, but the variance in these stats is just so great that they mean very little unless he is like a 70/0/503b, you get what i mean :). I advise you to look up bayes theorem to understand this better.
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Onto the hand itself
pre: yeah thats fine, not much else to say, folding is probs ok given you are in MP, but yeah im not folding.
Flop: nothing to do but call, villain will likely be c-betting this flop near 100%....
Turn: ok he likely doesnt check a strong Ax hand, so only some weak Axs hands are going to be in his range for checking turn, and that might not even be the case.
When you call an Ahigh flop in this situation people will tend to give you decent credit for a reasonably made hand, given how many Strong Ax combos are in your range for calling the 3bet pre, after opening MP.
This means he likely is going to shutdown with most of his KQ combos that don't have a flush draw.
Therefore He has lots of air and some weak Ax, and possibly jj-kk if he chose to cbet the flop, which is def a possibility.
So you dont fold his jj-kk nor his weak Ax hands, or any Tx that is stronger than yours.
The only part of his range you fold out our hands with two overs, and you beat these anyway, and have good equity Vs this part of his range given you are on the turn.
Because people dont tend to take the check turn, bluff river line very often, his river play is going to be pretty honest and you can play accordingly.
********************
Conclusion: when u bet turn and get called you are only value cutting yourself, and never getting called by a worse hand. Villain wont bluff river much, and you have showdown equity, so i feel checking turn makes alot more sense that considering a bet.
In regards to CREV, it will no doubt be the best poker investment you have ever made! However it does take some work to get good with it, and you are going to have to spend a great deal of hours getting used to it. But it is fun and extremely informative when you get the hang of it. Its def going to save/win you two buyins at your stake level in not too long of a time span, so i advise you not to hesitate.
If you dont feel like you have the time at the moment, investing in flopzilla that is cheaper and easier/straightforward would be a good alternative. Its not a gold standard programme like CREv but it def has alot of application and will help your game immensly.
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