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50 NL good draw against donking Reg

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50 NL good draw against donking Reg

UTG: 94.73
HJ: 34.68
CO: 53.74
BN: 56.67 (Hero)
SB: 70.56
BB: 51.81
Preflop (0.75) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt J 8
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to 1.25, SB calls 1, BB folds
Flop (3) Q Q 5 (2 Players)
SB bets 2.52, Hero calls 2.52
Turn (8.04) 9 (2 Players)
SB bets 6.04, Hero calls 6.04
River (20.12) A (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero bets 16.50

Hi,

Villain plays 23/16/5.2 on 12k hands and plays a bit of an unorthodox style.

donkbet flop 27% (fold to donkbet raise 32%), donk turn 15%, donk river 24%.

Fold to river bet 66%.

I'm a bit lost in this spot since usually when someone donks into you, its mostly a fish and you just raise them.

I somehow tend to give a reg more credit though, since most regs donk way < 10% and so use to have strong ranges for that.

How do you play each street against this guy?

I thought about raising turn b/c he can only really continue against turnraise with a Q.

OTR, is this a mandatory bluff and with what size?



2 Comments

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CombatCarl 11 years ago

Some regs donk draws but FD is blocked so may be A5/66/77/88/AT/AJ, I'm putting combos of Ax because A high seems good on flop so charging vs draws might be possible. I don't donk much so it's hard to play against someone like this.... I'm thinking bluffing river might not be good here because we only rep Axhh and he has a bluff catching pair here quite often on top of the chance that he donks +AT for value. We probably can't win without firing but players usually get more sticky on a paired flop texture. So, I feel like bluff is losing money.




RaoulFlush 11 years ago

hmmm...looks like a mandatory bluffspot to me for sure...

we dont have any SDV, so bluffing should never be a real mistake. I dont really think villain should be shutting down any QX OTR (esp with an A hitting)

IMO hero shouldnt have that much of bluffs himself here either if he bets the river (a lot of flushdraws should include the As and hit SDV OTR)

And therefore Villain seems kind of reggish i expect himt to 3bet a lot of AsXs combos himself in this position preflop. this combined with his high donk and fold to riverbet stats makes this a must bluffspot to me

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