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4bet shove with overcards

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

4bet shove with overcards

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $208.00
SB: $344.29
BB: $454.79
UTG: $200.00
MP: $582.11
CO: $203.68 (Hero)
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is CO with J K
UTG folds, MP raises to $6.00, Hero raises to $20.00, 3 folds, MP raises to $44.00, Hero calls $24.00
Flop ($91.00) 3 9 T
MP bets $29.33, Hero raises to $159.68 and is all in, MP calls $130.35
Turn ($410.36) 3 9 T K
River ($410.36) 3 9 T K 4

If i calculated right I need him to fold around 60% + I have some equtiy against QQ/JJ/TT/99.
The reg was a bit light with the 4bets/ around 12%, and I interpreted some game flow 4bets in it, because I was a bit spewy (although that probably was a mistake and is a leak on my side).
I think he has a lot of AQ/AK combos which I want him to fold
(you could argue that he will check some of the AQ/AK combos although i would lean more towards a bet because otherwise his hand is kind of face up if he does not balance his checking range),
besides that some random bluffs and for value TT+. My logic is that his AQ/AK/Bluffs range is so big + my suckout equity that it justifies the shove. Am I right ? Thanks a lot in advance

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