400NL - facing river checkraise
Posted by Emergence
Posted by Emergence posted in Mid Stakes
400NL - facing river checkraise
SB: $535.90
BB: $603.80
UTG: $400
HJ: $78.20
CO: $407.40
BN: $452.05 (Hero)
BB: $603.80
UTG: $400
HJ: $78.20
CO: $407.40
BN: $452.05 (Hero)
Preflop
($6.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
J
A
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $9.20, Hero calls $9.20, SB calls $7.20, BB folds
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $9.20, Hero calls $9.20, SB calls $7.20, BB folds
I flat here because of a massive 71/3 fish in the small blind (90 hands). Villain has a 36% CO open so far in this session, partly because of the fish that he has position on. No hands have gotten to showdown yet between hero and villain.
Flop
($31.60)
J
2
9
(3 Players)
SB checks,
CO bets $23.70,
Hero calls $23.70,
SB folds
Turn
($79.00)
J
2
9
3
(2 Players)
CO bets $59.25,
Hero calls $59.25
River
($197.50)
J
2
9
3
2
(2 Players)
CO checks,
Hero bets $88,
CO raises to $315.25, and is all in
On the river, because all draws missed, I made the following assumptions:
* he would valuebet AJ+ himself because I'm likely to fold my non combo draws on the turn, making my range more Jx heavy
* I might get to the river with maybe 5-6 or so combos of missed draws, with a valuerange of 7 combos of boats/quads, 51 combos of J9-AJ, 18 combos of QQ-AA
* he has a bunch of missed draws that he checks here
* less important, but it matters a little bit that I block a part of his valuerange, plus I have the ace of the flushdraw
* he would valuebet AJ+ himself because I'm likely to fold my non combo draws on the turn, making my range more Jx heavy
* I might get to the river with maybe 5-6 or so combos of missed draws, with a valuerange of 7 combos of boats/quads, 51 combos of J9-AJ, 18 combos of QQ-AA
* he has a bunch of missed draws that he checks here
* less important, but it matters a little bit that I block a part of his valuerange, plus I have the ace of the flushdraw
- What's the best bet sizing with our range, and what's the weakest hand out of that range to bet/call with?
- Would you make different assumptions about my range? (I know big pairs might be a little bit discounted from my perceived range for some players but the small blind changes my flatting range a lot here)
Thanks for replying guys!
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