4 bet bluff faces CIB 5 bet 140bb deep
Posted by WM2K
Posted by
WM2K
posted in
Mid Stakes
4 bet bluff faces CIB 5 bet 140bb deep
CO: $178 (89 bb)
Hero (BTN): $277.50 (138.8 bb)
SB: $343 (171.5 bb)
BB: $215.60 (107.8 bb)
MP: $197 (98.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7d Ah
2 folds, Hero raises to $4, SB raises to $14, BB folds, Hero raises to $38, SB raises to $62, Hero ??
Villains aggro reggish. 21/17 and 3 bet idk probably over 15% from this spot. Not enough hands to say exactly what his gameplan is. I like attacking 3 bets like this pretty aggressively with 4 bets just because their risk/reward this deep is awful for bluffing. However dude takes this goofball line and how do we proceed? Obv equity wise we re doing fine but this hand plays pretty crap against his range. Perhaps just take a flop and proceed with caution?
P.S. for some reason seems that the hand converter is having a hard time with ongame hands.
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As for calling, I am against it. The reasoning about it not being in the top 60% of your 4bet range is not really relevant. The real decision is whether you can play A7o profitably against villain's 5bet range. I don't think you can. Even if villain has a reasonable number of bluffs I think it would be unusual for his range to be much larger than 5%. QQ+,AK is 2.6%, so that would be 50% bluffs. Against a 5% range you flop <=17% equity at least half the time according to ProPokerTools.
http://www.propokertools.com/simulations/graph_hvr?g=he&h1=Ax7y&h2=5%25&s=generic
Even if you widen villain to QQ+,AQ,Axs you don't flop very well.
http://www.propokertools.com/simulations/graph_hvr?g=he&h1=Ax7y&h2=QQ%2B%2CAQ%2CAx%2Ax&s=generic
Additionally there is the problem of playability. It's going to be difficult to make good decisions postflop, especially when you hit your ace. Most of the value will come from bluffing the right flops, and some players are going to call unimproved aces in a way that makes this difficult or impossible.
After his 5bet, i think we have to insta-turbo-fold, we can't pay we have a lot of reverse implicits odds
As for interpreting the graph I don't know exactly what it means either, but generally I look at the frequency we flop certain equities. For example, what kind of equity do we average at our pot odds precent, which in this case is 11%? Another question to ask is how often we are a favorite postflop. Looking at the graph of A7o it doesn't look very good, even against the widest range. Despite the odds I think these graphs show that our equity isn't good enough to play the flop against villain's estimated range.
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