3bet pot rvr decision with 2p

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3bet pot rvr decision with 2p

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $28.14 (Hero)
SB: $25.10
BB: $34.25
UTG: $62.71
MP: $30.01
CO: $25.00
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BN with J K
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB raises to $2.00, BB folds, Hero calls $1.50
Flop ($4.25) J 8 9
SB bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25
Turn ($8.75) J 8 9 K
SB bets $5.52, Hero calls $5.52
River ($19.79) J 8 9 K 9
SB bets $15.33 and is all in

Villain is 29/26 and 20% 3b from SB over 126 hands.

Looking back I think shoving turn is maybe better than calling on such a wet board. As played, anyone finding a fold on the river?

3 Comments

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SAULGOODMAN 10 years, 1 month ago

Hero 37.93% 37.93% 0.00% KhJs
Villain 62.07% 62.07% 0.00% KK+, JJ, 88, AKs, QTs, AdQd, AhQh, AdTd, AhTh, 7d6d, 7h6h, AKo

Plugged in a pretty rough range for villain, and against that range we have enough equity to call river.

Let me know what you guys think, maybe I am being unrealistic with villain's range here.

qualle7 10 years, 1 month ago

Hm your range might be ok. But I would be careful with your river assumptions. Because from the preflop stats above we can't really say much about villian's postflop play. (+ very small sample size - so basicly he could be 3betting 25% in the SB vs Btn or 5-10%)
We can assume villian is a reg.
Many regs shut down on the river if they miss their draw. So his river all in could be for value only. Other players bet Flop and/or Turn with overs/gutters and bluff all in on the river. Some give up with AK on the flop.

Raising the turn can become tricky. If you start raising the turn for value all your turncalls(turncalling range) will have weak showdown value or will be draws. Which means, your opponent might be able to exploit you by shoving/bluffing many rivers.
Another thing to consider is, that if you raise the Turn villian might fold his bluffs and maybe folds hands like KQ,AK,KT, which he might 3 barrel with.

I hope it helps a little bit, although my answer is vague.

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