3bet KK MvUTG BTN cc3b, triple barrel Q54tt 7 9rfc
Posted by Daz
Posted by
Daz
posted in
Low Stakes
3bet KK MvUTG BTN cc3b, triple barrel Q54tt 7 9rfc
BN: $33.29
SB: $10
BB: $34.09
UTG: $30
HJ: $52.23 (Hero)
CO: $39.25
SB: $10
BB: $34.09
UTG: $30
HJ: $52.23 (Hero)
CO: $39.25
UTG is reg but opens too wide imo. BTN is playing too many hands and is the target at the table.
Preflop
($0.45)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
K
UTG raises to $0.90, Hero raises to $2.55, CO folds, BN calls $2.55, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $1.65
UTG raises to $0.90, Hero raises to $2.55, CO folds, BN calls $2.55, SB folds, BB folds, UTG calls $1.65
Flop
($8.10)
Q
4
5
(3 Players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $3.45,
BN calls $3.45,
UTG folds
I felt like this board is quite 'dry' for their respective ranges and they will play straight forward to a cbet. I'm not to sure why i didn't bet more, it might have been to induce from the BTN.
I'm very happy when BTN calls and UTG folds
I'm very happy when BTN calls and UTG folds
Turn
($15.00)
7
(2 Players)
Hero bets $8.70,
BN calls $8.70
Once the turn brings another flush draw and straight draw, i'm very happy to see BTN call again. He may raise his sets unless its specifically QQ
River
($32.40)
9
(2 Players)
Hero bets $37.53,
BN calls $18.59
With my Ks blocker and during the hand i felt villain had a made hand i found a river bet for value.
My question would be: if i'm betting the river for value $18 into $32, what portion of combos must i have villain beat and what combos beat me?
is it: 18/50= 36% ie. i need to be ahead more than 36% of the time so that villain needs a ratio of worse hands to better hands less than 2.1 to 1?
So how many Qx hands does he have? AQ maybe KQ and then KQs QJs maybe QTs. At least 14 (12+2) to 24.
And nut flush draws AsJs AsTs and maybe JsTs 8s7s 7s6s: 2 - 5
If he did slowplay sets: 9, putting that together of hands i lose to 11-14
How do my calculations look? i need him to slowplay all his sets to prevent me from value shoving, is this correct?
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