3B pot - valuebetting a set in 3b pot - easy right?
Posted by mattdonk
Posted by mattdonk posted in Low Stakes
3B pot - valuebetting a set in 3b pot - easy right?
SB: dddscorpion: $40.48
BB: EVParadox: $25.00
UTG: gajii22: $25.00
MP: MxFlosh: $66.48
CO: Moscowman72: $29.27
River ($32.75) 8h Kd 3c 4c Jc
SB checks
hero...?
Deep with the small blind on the button, so far SB is 28/24/3 over 200 hands. seems to be aggressive post flop but low 3bet so far, small sample
I decided to value raise the turn even though honestly i don't have many bluffs or value hands here so maybe an argument for calling but my assumption at the time was his seemingly tight 3bet range was loaded with Kx / value betting and i want to set stacks for the river. i think he probably jams KK+ most of time on the turn so when the river makes a flush, it's basically Kx and some flushes like AQ, KcXx hands so i start to wonder if AK is really calling a shove for 100bb's here.... betting small is also weirdish i guess but on the plus i never expect to get bluff raised...... shove? check? small valuebet? do we use stats to influence our decision here?
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