3/6 Flush on paired board, river?
Posted by JOTOPOEI
Posted by
JOTOPOEI
posted in
Mid Stakes
3/6 Flush on paired board, river?
SB: $1
BB: $452.33
UTG: $240
HJ: $835.04
CO: $600 (Hero)
BN: $864.91
BB: $452.33
UTG: $240
HJ: $835.04
CO: $600 (Hero)
BN: $864.91
Preflop
($9.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
K
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $15, BN calls $15, SB folds, BB folds
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $15, BN calls $15, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($39.00)
8
J
9
(2 Players)
Hero bets $24.58,
BN calls $24.58
Turn
($88.16)
Q
(2 Players)
Hero bets $59.75,
BN calls $59.75
River
($207.66)
9
(2 Players)
Hero bets $163.89,
BN raises to $765.58,
Hero calls $336.78, and is all in
BB 32/9 - table mark.
BTN solid guy 24/19. CC on the BTN 6-10%. Vs cbets folds 43 31 50 (river sample size smallish). Doesn't raise much (2% OTF, 4% OTT). Probably folds significantly less vs Hero as he perceives me to be really bluff-happy.
Loading 7 Comments...
What´s a possible bluffing-range given board texture, tendencies (narrow CC-range!!, fish in the BB)? I can´t see any ... so is there any worse hand he´s shoving for value?
I definetely don't think that he's shoving anything worse for value, also my As kind of blocks his possible bluffing hands. His value range is pretty narrow tho - Q9s J9s (4 combos), QTss expect to raise the flop as well as 88 99 JJ altho he might opt to not raise those sets, so removing smthing like half of those combos seems a solid assumption to me.
Dunno, maybe he's turning some hands into bluffs like AJ/KJ/QJ/KQ - I dont expect any of those to fold prior to river as again he perceives me as bluff and barrel happy.
That´s my thought as well - the only plausible bluffs for him would be turning made hands into bluffs ... but that´s a far stretch, given all the value-combos he can have.
How big of a fish is the BTN? Big enough for him to flat J9s? That's only two combos (how about Q9s etc.)
The key here is his flop raising tendacies. 88/JJ/99 are all hands he'd flat with a fish behind, but would he really call on a flop that's so wet?
He will never shove worse for value.
click flag post by accident was just reading how do i unflag?
Looks like a pretty easy bet/fold on the river. 2 straight flush combos + a ton of boats makes it pretty impossible to call here, even with the nut flush.
I would need an extremely specific read that villain was capable of making this exact type of bluff, to even consider a call here.
Having said all that, pretty sweet spot for villain to turn QJ into a bluff :)
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