3 of a kind OTR.100nl
Posted by WM2K
Posted by
WM2K
posted in
Low Stakes
3 of a kind OTR.100nl
4 folds, SB raises to $3, WM2K calls $2 Flop ($6, 2 players) 
SB bets $4.50, WM2K calls $4.50 Turn ($15, 2 players)
SB bets $11.50, WM2K calls $11.50 River ($38, 2 players)
SB bets $31, $31 to WM2K ($203.95)?Villain is a 19/16 meh reg. steals 37% from this position, c bet s 70%/40% so far. Is this a clear raise? I thought that him calling w/ AA,AxQx,Ax5x,AxQy,Ax5y,QQ would be enough but we re actually a dog vs this range. He needs to call ~ half the time with AK for this to be a raise where we hit 55% vs (AA,AxQx,Ax5x,AxQy,Ax5y,QQ,44)@100,(AxKx,AxKy)@50. There is reason for him to be suspicious given I can perhaps raise Ax to get him off a chop. Thoughts?
Loading 5 Comments...
nice post
If he won't bluff shove, then raising is safer, and more attractive. I think you'll keep enough of his river betting range to make a raise plus EV if you click it back. I think, BvB, and with the Ace and fllush card on the turn, he gets to the river with a fairly wide range.
Really, the question boils down to assumptions about ranges and the effect different raise sizes will have on those ranges.
Be the first to add a comment