3 bet some cheese now gotta play post. 100nl
Posted by WM2K
Posted by
WM2K
posted in
Low Stakes
3 bet some cheese now gotta play post. 100nl
Villain is a laggier reg stealing 60% and folding ~50% to 3 bets so far. He definitely has some ability to mess around although no exact reads as to how. Whats your preferred line of action in this somewhat tricky flop.
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I´d bet the flop, expecting him to often attack this flop and then shove over his raise.
Chk raise? He would probably bet a lot of his range and if he peels you can attack a good amt of turns. Don't ask me what to do if he 3bets though, I'd like to hear your take on that.
"Our equity vs his value range is likely to be quite poor"
How that? We have 43% againts any overpair, 50% against fd with overcards, 25% against sets. The only hand we´re almost drawing dead against is JT.
I just plugged some #s into the fpp pro FE calculator. I said we bet 10$, he raises to 30$ and we jam the 82 we have left. I gave us 22% when called (generous imo) and we need him to be folding 37% of the time to b/e.
So unless my calcs are wrong I stand by my previous statement.
I like check/raise/call. He's probably bet/folding some and we perform good enough against his 3bet range to call it off. Unfortunately, he won't be folding better hands, but that's due to the board texture irrespective of our line.
Ok, 60-65% seems high but possible. However, somehow I would like to make more than just a marginally +EV play with this hand. Check/calling won't be much better though ... Hm...
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