3 bet pot IP middle pair + A high FD

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3 bet pot IP middle pair + A high FD

Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (6 Players) BN: $14.55 (Hero)
SB: $5.98
BB: $5.40
UTG: $4.83
MP: $5.00
CO: $8.68
Preflop ($0.07) Hero is BN with A 9
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, SB folds, BB raises to $0.38, Hero calls $0.26
Flop ($0.78) Q 6 9
BB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn ($1.78) Q 6 9 T
BB checks, Hero bets $1.30, BB calls $1.30
River ($4.38) Q 6 9 T T
BB checks

villain is 26/16 over 62 hands / 4% 3 bet pf / 1.9 agg / 82% fold to steal

not sure vs 4% 3bet pf range how my hand is doing TBH. Should i just fold , raise or call?

as played,

would it be a good spot to raise cbet on the flop? i can put a lot of pressure if he has marginal hand

on the turn, i decided to go for a bet cause with my big draw and him checking i feel like if he dosent have a Q hes probably gonna be inclined to fold. maybe its better for my to check back though and realize my equity vs his range but im not very sure

on the river,
should i go for another bullet? make him fold a Qx hand or busted FD

6 Comments

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Eriol 6 years, 11 months ago

Given his stats I'll probably just fold pre.
As played I like to raise the flop.
OTT I'm not sure, either trying to steal and taking the free card seems fine to me.
Once he c/calls the turn either he has some weak hands or he's trapping with QQ imo. I Think I would have bet big, even shoving seems fine to me, I dont think we have showdown value and he could have some qx hands he'll fold

Jeff_ 6 years, 11 months ago

vs 4% with good sample, this probably borderline call, yet I'd call always. Don't see point to bet turn if we play vs tight range, he probably folding AK and that's it, against that hand you doing okay. Wouldn't bet turnh vs wider 3 bet ranges, it performs likely better as a check

Mancuso 6 years, 11 months ago

Only 62 hands.
We are not assuming that he is 3 betting 4% of the time.

VIllains seems to be weaker since he made a cheap 3bet.
Call pre and play the postflop ip.

Call the flop.
I'd like to check back the turn and realize your equity, then bet./raising any heart river.

frontdoorbackdoor 6 years, 11 months ago

Not folding pre vs that sizing. I dont think 62 hands is enough for the stat to converge in any case. Calling flop vs that sizing and checking back the turn. As played, I think i would just give up on the river and x back. Think you have significantly reduced fold equity on the T river and not sure you get many better hands to fold, perhaps AQ (which you block) or KQ but id expect a lot of villains to just hero you down

KatonBond 6 years, 11 months ago

IP in 3bet pots dont have that much of a raising range on draw heavy boards i believe, im pretty sure a wait and see approach is good

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