3-Bet pot: AA Overpair in a 2 paired board.
Posted by J.J. Arroyo
Posted by
J.J. Arroyo
posted in
Low Stakes
3-Bet pot: AA Overpair in a 2 paired board.
BN: $25
SB: $47.61 (Hero)
BB: $44.12
UTG: $10.48
HJ: $38.09
CO: $25.14
SB: $47.61 (Hero)
BB: $44.12
UTG: $10.48
HJ: $38.09
CO: $25.14
HJ is a 32/17 loose passive player, 1.3 AF in 782 hands 12% of limp, so he frecuently limps. got SQZ by CO , a 27/15 in 463 hands.
HJ folds 62% to 3bet, 4bet 15% out of 26 times. Co folds very few times to 3bets, 20%.
HJ folds 62% to 3bet, 4bet 15% out of 26 times. Co folds very few times to 3bets, 20%.
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
A
UTG folds, HJ calls $0.25, CO raises to $1, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.65, BB folds, HJ calls $2.50, CO calls $1.75
UTG folds, HJ calls $0.25, CO raises to $1, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.65, BB folds, HJ calls $2.50, CO calls $1.75
I dont know if HJ has some suited connectors here, I think there are more Ax, broadways and some 99-TT, maybe JJ and QQ.
CO I think has a lot of hands to fold here, many broadways and Ax as well , that tried to isolate against HJ and maybe some set minning without pot odds, so I would give credit to a raise against 2 with such a wide range. I dont know if for HJ apply giving him credit.
CO I think has a lot of hands to fold here, many broadways and Ax as well , that tried to isolate against HJ and maybe some set minning without pot odds, so I would give credit to a raise against 2 with such a wide range. I dont know if for HJ apply giving him credit.
Flop
($8.50)
6
7
6
(3 Players)
Hero bets $4.04,
HJ calls $4.04,
CO folds
Here I think there are some draws+pair and some overpairs keep calling, Ax with one spade may should fold, and still calling AXs,KXs and QXs of spades.
Turn
($16.58)
8
(2 Players)
Hero bets $7.88,
HJ calls $7.88
River
($32.34)
8
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
HJ bets $15.36,
Hero folds
This cards improves the 98 hand with the draw, but the remaining overpairs are checking back here, also i dont think he is capable of betting that strong when missed the FD .
He has a WTSD% of 31 and W$SD% of 55 (56) , I dont understand right values for this stats, but I believe can help me to define a good answer for this spot when we refer to how often goes to showdown and wins, I ll be grateful if you can explain me and if its useful here, and hope your thoughts about the hand :).
He has a WTSD% of 31 and W$SD% of 55 (56) , I dont understand right values for this stats, but I believe can help me to define a good answer for this spot when we refer to how often goes to showdown and wins, I ll be grateful if you can explain me and if its useful here, and hope your thoughts about the hand :).
Final Pot
HJ
wins $46.09
Loading 7 Comments...
It seems fine. I would bet bigger on flop & turn to set up a river shove, but this river is probably a x/f.
the river sucks tho.. With is TT+, he would most likely cb so when he bets like that, I assume you are beat.. but yeah, bigger on the flop and turn.
Yeah, but what's the principle of betting bigger each street? Giving him less odds and less percentage of hands to call? Am I right? And about showdown stats how do you interpret them? Thanks
If your read is correct river would be a bet. 99-QQ will account for a way higher percentage of his range than 6x or 8x when we are not even sure he is capable of having suited connectors.
Having checked I agree its a fold against this player.
If our read about his flop range is correct, villain is still gonna have a whole bunch of missed FDs to bluff with. And this is a runout where our perceived range is very likely to be capped. Like, what's our check-raise for value range OTR? Exactly 88? It's not even clear we have 88 in our 3bet range. What's in our check-call range?
Also, villain betting 50pot isn't a size I'd interpret as strong?
In villain's shoes, I wouldn't do it myself, but I don't think the idea of turning 99-TT into a bluff here is even that crazy. Plus all the missed flush draws. Plus our superweak perceived range. Plus good odds. I think we should feel like bluffcatching here.
Your overall betsizing is better suited for mtts and sng where you areshallow staked and every chip matters. By betting bigger you dont only get more value but also more information. I dont lay down your hand here.
i think your range you assigned is a bit odd tbh, but possible definitely. also, your at top of ur river range cuz u have no really 8x or 6x.. even this player who seems weak may realize that he has this in his range and you don't ... with this price, you only need to win 25%, u really think he has 75% 8x and 6x rather than missed flush draws, the occasional thin value bet with QQ, JJ or the occasional bluff with something else?
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