Which hands do you think he folds on the flop vs your cbet?

I kind of like block on river tbh, their range is a lot of pp and pair plus draw and your overpair range plus Ax that gets to river could max ev against weaker player with this line. In theory it might be shove/ck

Hey DwightEisenhower

Your preflop, flop and turn plays are very standard and wp.

On the river, when we consider all the hands we get here with, which will be stuff like AA-JJ, some AK, some A-QJT, A5s, Axcc, and then KQJT987 connectors heavily weighted towards club-club combinations, we are left with a very few hands to pick from to use as our bluffs. We want to make him fold his 77-TT, so a hand like 87s make a slightly worse bluff than the QJ we hold, which in turn blocks AQcc and AJcc as you mentioned. I think this is going to end up being one of our super premium bluffs and we definitely don't want to be checking this one. I would consider bluffing with pretty much everything that isn't a pair getting to this river.

Cheers.

Whenever we are polarized and the turn or river heavily improves our bluff range we commonly end up betting almost every bluff again. This one blocks JJs so it's even easier.

Preflop Btn $6, SB QcJc 3bet $22
Flop (46) 642r
cbet 14 | call
turn (74) 6424cc
cbet 40 | call
River (154) 6424ccAx
hero QcJc all in $124

I like to visualize the actual amount and not just percentage of the pot when looking at HH. I think preflop is good to 3bet maybe go a bit larger to 12.5bb.

Flop sizing at 30% is pretty standard when simplifying your strategy; however, on these low type flops you leave some value on the table where you can go around half pot here on these low flops. Erazer made a video a while back stating this on these really low flops such as 442.

Turn your 55% sizing I am not sure what you are trying to accomplish. The 4 is kind of a brick for both ranges besides small pairs being in ranges 22-66. Would like to see either a continuation of 30-35% barrel or a more polarizing bet around 80% turn. This will leave you with about $105 on the river and pot being around $192.

River - as played I think you can save a few bucks by betting around 62% pot $94 and accomplish the same result. Save around 15bb in the process.