2nd pair in 3b pot, villain is firing barrels at us

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2nd pair in 3b pot, villain is firing barrels at us

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $15.48
SB: $17.06 (Hero)
BB: $10.30
UTG: $15.70
MP: $10.93
CO: $11.14
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is SB with A T
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.05, BB folds, MP calls $0.75
Flop ($2.20) J T 2
Hero checks, MP bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40
Turn ($5.00) J T 2 5
Hero checks, MP bets $2.95, Hero calls $2.95
River ($10.90) J T 2 5 8
Hero checks, MP bets $5.53 and is all in

Villain is opening 20% from MP and at the time I thought he was folding to a lot of 3bets but it's such a small sample it's probably not worth considering.

Should I just cbet the flop? Fold turn? By the river i feel like we're committed given the odds we're getting and almost every draw missed. Also in my experience at 10NL people are checking back the rvr with QJ/KJ quite often even vs. our capped range.

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jaypatel33 10 years, 2 months ago

I think pre is fine if you think he was going to fold to 3bets a lot. Thinks its a lot better than calling, so yea like either a fold or 3bet.

Postflop, its a pretty bad board for us. He has all of the TT/JJ, whereas we likely don't.

Maybe its too nitty but I may just ch/f the flop. He has TT/JJ, AQ,KQ, even though we beat AQ,KQ we don't have much equity against them and he is gonna call and put us in difficult situations on later streets.

As played, I think if you cbet the flop, you should fire turn as well. If he just call the turn, consider hero ch/c the river as I think we can rule out slow played sets in general and doubt he bets river with AJ,KJ etc.

As played though, I am folding river here, since we ch/c down OTT, its harder to put him on a range.

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