2nd Nut Flush on Paired Board
Posted by STR
Posted by
STR
posted in
Low Stakes
2nd Nut Flush on Paired Board
Blinds: $0.02/$0.05 (5 Players)
CO: Rev_Hus: $5.47 (Hero)
BN: Sitrof: $2.98
SB: s0me0nelv: $5.81
BB: Qarz: $6.41
UTG: hurin999: $7.10
BN: Sitrof: $2.98
SB: s0me0nelv: $5.81
BB: Qarz: $6.41
UTG: hurin999: $7.10
V is a 21/18 pretty standard seeming reg over a small sample.
Preflop
($0.07)
Rev_Hus is CO with
K
K
, , ,
Flop
($0.97)
5
5
6
, ,
Doesn't really tell me much about V's range as this board is so dry could be floating with a number of broadway over cards with one or two hearts as well as all pairs 77+
Turn
($2.07)
5
5
6
2
,
Don't see any reason to raise but definitely can't fold especially with a redraw to the king high flush. His bet sizing looks quite weak as I have only shown strength this hand, if he turned a flush or has a full house it would make sense to bet slightly larger, looks like a blocking bet. That read isn't so strong and doesn't really narrow v's range but has me leaning towards AJ, AQ, 99+ with one heart.
River
($4.07)
5
5
6
2
Q
,
Probably the worst river card short of an offsuit ace. I think quite a few players would bet a Q+ flush for value, IMO many players would c/c lower flushes especially with paired board. The Q also means its unlikely that 99-JJ is leading this river. V's range in my mind seems AhJx, AhQx most of the time, QQ, 66, 22 rarely and a small percentage of bluffs. Saying that pot odds are quite good at 3 to 1 so only need to be right 25% of time.
This hand in itself is interesting but I'd also be interested in your opinion of making big folds and self confidence in your own reads at the micros. Clearly I am not a poker god yet as this hand unfolded everything in my mind was pointing to V having an Ahx type of hand. Yet this is balanced against the recognition that I am not infallible in combination with the times players at the micros show up with Ts7s in these situations as well as the decent pot odds.
Thanks
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