25Z TPGK in 4bet pot OOP

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

25Z TPGK in 4bet pot OOP

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $27.66
SB: $26.56
BB: $25.55
UTG: $41.99
MP: $25.00 (Hero)
CO: $117.56
CO is a somewhat aggressive reg, playing 25/21 with 10.9 3bet over 280 hands.
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is MP with Q K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.60, CO raises to $2.15, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5.80, CO calls $3.65
Flop ($11.95) Q 9 6
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn ($11.95) Q 9 6 8
Hero checks, CO bets $5.48, Hero calls $5.48
River ($22.91) Q 9 6 8 3
Hero checks, CO bets $13.75, Hero calls $13.72 and is all in

Might be a bit of a loose 4bet pre but this guy seems to be 3betting quite a bit and don't want to flat this hand OOP.

Flop he has more 99 and probably more QQ in his range than I do so would be checking a fair amount on this board and this hand seems OK to put into our x/c range.

After he checks back the flop, i think we can remove most nutted hands from his range. We are perceived to cap our range quite a bit by checking and hes quite aggressive so hoping to induce something on the turn. Not sure if just x/shoving here to get called by 7x and FDs is better though?

River i don't see how we can get away from the hand at this point. He could also have bluffs like Axs that is trying to fold our AK and busted flush draws.

Would appreciate any input on all 3 streets as I'm not confident what the best line is here. Thanks

5 Comments

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screamdustry 6 years, 4 months ago

Looks like nice call, his range is going to be so narrow (mainly QQ/AQs) that he will only need to bluff so little given potodds for us to profitably call.

I dont agree with quite some of your assumptions tho. I think on this SPR no one is really capped by checking flop. Also, you dont really give him any 7x in a 4bet pot MPvsCO.

BubbleNedRum 6 years, 4 months ago

postflop looks fine to me, preflop is understandable given you reads i guess

screamdustry 6 years, 4 months ago

I dont think its true. First, 10.8% 3bet is not even that high and sample is way too small to assess villain's positional 3bet. And then, we got just so many better continuing hands than KQo.

KQo should be in like bottom25% of our hands in terms of playability that we open from MP, and blocker effect (especially OOP) is not good enough to justify continuing playing it as a 4bet. AXs and suited connectors, that we would normally fold, seemed to be doing way better as a 4bets, at least according to PIO seems i reviewed and PokerSnowie.

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