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[25NLZ] Would this be a standard bluff vs unknown for you?

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[25NLZ] Would this be a standard bluff vs unknown for you?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $37.80
SB: $25.36
BB: $87.66 (Hero)
UTG: $12.42
MP: $26.54
CO: $25.00
Hi guys, villain is unknown, but reggish.
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with 8 Q
3 folds, BN raises to $0.50, SB folds, Hero calls $0.25
Flop ($1.10) 6 A 7
Hero checks, BN bets $0.75, Hero raises to $1.80, BN calls $1.05
Turn ($4.70) 6 A 7 4
Hero bets $3.00, BN calls $3.00
River ($10.70) 6 A 7 4 8
Hero bets $7.10, BN raises to $14.20, Hero folds
So on the river, neither of us have a lot of 5x. I have a few 54s that I will barrel, he also has them. I'll have 85s, and that's it. If he has A5, I assume he's got plenty more shitty Ax that will fold versus 2/3rd pot, right? My range has a clear advantage when I bet, It has around 70% against his range.
Final Pot BN wins $23.66
Rake is $1.24

6 Comments

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frontdoorbackdoor 6 years, 6 months ago

In general I wouldn't be a massive fan of triple barreling unknowns too wide. I think it's fine to X/r this hand on the flop sometimes but it's easy for you to get out of line as you only have around 30 value combos and if you xr all your 89o and 45s that's already 20 combos. If you are X/r though you need to make it bigger, probably to 2.20/2.30.

Turn seems like a decent card to barrel with the gutshot but again think your sizing needs to be bigger as your range is quite polarised. River isnt great as none of your sets and 2 pair are now betting, your 89 has middle pair and is unlikely to bet. It's true that neither of you has much 5x but I think he has a few more hands like A5 and 56s. This is probably a river that I would under bluff as I'd expect to get looked up fairly often by suspicious regs. We also have no info on villain and whether he's capable of folding a strong hand by the river

Mish 6 years, 6 months ago

On the flop vs that sizing I would not raise Q8, not sure if we do much raising at all , but prefer open enders with bdfd 89s, 54s, And your raise size is waay too small. As played just fold flop

thezemo 6 years, 6 months ago

He should have more 5x than you given your raise size as he should have all 65s 75s 95s 85s A5s 53s 54s A5o (37 combos).

You have all 54s (4), some 85s (2), 95s (2), sometimes 54o (6), maybe even 85o (6) given his 2x open.

Yeah, seems like spew against his flop sizing.

kalciis 6 years, 6 months ago

Just a fold on flop, if u raise ur value range is 2p+ so sizings is too small, idk how u construct ur x/r range but optimal x/r range should have some 5x: 56s,75s,45s,58s. As played, turn is a high ev hard for ur range so u have to do quite a bit of betting, and on a river quite a few of ur bluffs have improved so this hand should be probably near always bluffing, I expect having one sizings on river wont lose alot of ev and sets should fit in to this sizings as well

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