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[25NLz] Turn overbet

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

[25NLz] Turn overbet

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $9.70
SB: $50.93 (Hero)
BB: $32.31
UTG: $64.34
MP: $45.03
CO: $34.08
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is SB with Q 8
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50
Flop ($1.50) 3 9 J
Hero checks, BB bets $0.50, Hero raises to $2.00, BB calls $1.50
I am mixing FDs into bet, ch/c and ch/r for coverage.
Turn ($5.50) 3 9 J 7
Hero bets $8.25, BB calls $8.25
I have some sets and T8 with this sizing. I use some strong club draws and some QT combos for bluffs. Sizing is to set up a possible river PSB, I can follow through this hand as a bluff on a K along with the 12 value rivers.
River ($22.00) 3 9 J 7 J
Hero checks, BB bets $21.00, Hero folds
This river is an easy give up as I block many missed draws.
Final Pot BB wins $21.01
Rake is $0.99

Thoughts on having an overbet range on the turn here? We both have some T8 but I have more sets (as he should 3b JJ and 99). I also have overpairs, but I would use a more normal sizing with those. No info on villain.

3 Comments

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Shaun Pauwels 4 years, 11 months ago

We often would want to go with an overbet to attack a capped range. Given the action I don't find that his range would be capped. BB has a lot of 2p+ combinations he can easily call.
If we would construct an overbet range I'm not sure if we would want this hand. KTcc is way better for example. Blocks JT, KJ and has a gutshot to the nuts or second nut flushdraw.

I would prefer not splitting range and have 1 betsize when we decide to continue barreling on this turn.

Gino Song 4 years, 11 months ago

I see this a lot: over betting with super high equity hands to try to get maximum fold equity while having 12+ outs, shoving as much money as possible into the pot and not wanting to see more streets. It can't that terrible of a play due to raw equity, but are you overbetting J9/JJ/99/33/AA on this board? Where's the actual cutoff in your range where you stop doing this? Cuz if im playing this style then im just going to overbet with the nuts and combo draws. If your not doing this with hands like top set as well, then I don't understand how you can construct a sensible range.

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