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[25NLZ] Thin value OTR versus fish instead of check/ crying

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[25NLZ] Thin value OTR versus fish instead of check/ crying

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $26.10
SB: $25.13 (Hero)
BB: $7.29
UTG: $25.00
MP: $15.18
CO: $48.74
Hi guys, so on this one villain is a fish, saw him limp, never played postflop against him.
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is SB with 2 A
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50
Flop ($1.50) 2 A 3
Hero bets $1.00, BB calls $1.00
Now I think I could've made it larger to overbet shove the turn, do you agree?
Turn ($3.50) 2 A 3 J
Hero bets $1.80, BB calls $1.80
Villain has 5.54 behind, and I think whoving is never a mistake here. But is this higher EV than just betting to shove any river?
River ($7.10) 2 A 3 J 8
Hero bets $21.58 and is all in, BB calls $3.74 and is all in
I put a calling range (A4s,KJs,QJs,KdTd,QdTd,JdTd,Kd9d,Qd9d,Jd9d,Td9d,Kd7d,Qd7d,Jd7d,Td7d,9d7d,Kd6d,Qd6d,Jd6d,Td6d,9d6d,7d6d,Kd5d,Qd5d,Jd5d,Td5d,9d5d,7d5d,6d5d,Kd4d,Qd4d,Jd4d,Td4d,9d4d,7d4d,6d4d,5d4d,ATo-) which gives me 56% EQ against him, so standard shove I guess?

4 Comments

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piownu 6 years, 6 months ago

I like shoving turn becouse rec players will call u with FD even without showdown value, they don't looking at Pot odss they think oh if i hitt i will double up. I saw when they call even to huge overbets so as long reg would not make mistakes vs your big bets with FD a rec player will do so i would absuse that.( but if u wanted to ship turn u should plan this on the flop and make pot bet) Although small bet on the flop and turn is fine becouse on the flop he may float wider and on the turn he may have in range hands like 4x, 5x,QT,KT,KQ and he will call turn with these hands to small bet and with this Spr u commited on evry river. So on the river if he has FD u lost anyway but he will have so many worser hands, He almost never fold Ax,Jx having so small behind and he will not bet with this hands thats why I like betting myself. I think u can just make 3 small bets or bigger flop ship turn, both options looks fine.

frontdoorbackdoor 6 years, 6 months ago

Hes probably never folding Ax or a FD regardless of sizing but might fold some pocket pairs so prefer just betting a reasonable size on the turn and shoving any river. Well played

Mish 6 years, 6 months ago

Well played you still get called by some Ax , maybe bet slighty bigger on the turn but not so irrelevant when villain is so short stack.

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