[25NLZ] Fold on the turn?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

[25NLZ] Fold on the turn?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $25.87 (Hero)
SB: $14.12
BB: $17.44
UTG: $42.49
MP: $27.45
CO: $63.50
villain is unknown
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BN with K K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $2.00, 2 folds, MP calls $1.50
Flop ($4.35) 8 9 4
MP checks, Hero bets $1.90, MP calls $1.90
Should bet larger the flop I guess, I tend to bet too small in 3bet pots :/
Turn ($8.15) 8 9 4 7
MP checks, Hero bets $5.00, MP raises to $11.50, Hero calls $6.50
I guess he has no bluffs here or at least very high equity semibluffs/paired hands; I need 21% EQ and with this range I only have 20% : JTs,87s,65s,QhJh,Th9h,Th8h,9h7h,8h6h,7h6h. That's quite random, so is Equilab enough to "solve" this kind of spot without infos? thx :)
River ($31.15) 8 9 4 7 2
MP bets $12.05 and is all in, Hero calls $10.47 and is all in
Final Pot BN lost and shows a pair of Kings.
MP wins and shows a straight, Seven to Jack.
MP wins $49.49
Rake is $2.60

Hi, this one is tricky too :/

7 Comments

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Jeff_ 6 years, 5 months ago

Would let it go ott, card is quite nice for villain range and vs unknown guy without info I would assume you will lose very often to find call turn and river.
Yet probably we have to always fire turn and check behind some rivers.

Jeff_ 6 years, 5 months ago

Yeah if I bet small size flop and didn't got raise, I would check some JJ, QQ and AA behind and mostly betting KK,TT. That turn is good for villain, that he suppose to donk it sometimes. Well micro-low stakes regulars, won't do it so we need to be checking turn frequently

thezemo 6 years, 5 months ago

Is you general read that people fastplay flop with set in this kind of spots at 25z ?
I would give at least 50% of 99 and 25% of 88,44 and probable 98s is always raise.

Thing is also when he raise so small it looks like he wants to keep you in the pot. Probable that removes T9hh QThh and AThh as they would shove. Still even with that hands we have only 15%.

Given your smaller sizing flop I made him float flop with 77-55. Without 77 and 65s we have 18% what is closer.

I would probable bet big flop, underbet turn / fold or small flop, x turn and decide river.

ChaoRen123 6 years, 5 months ago

Hi, you're right, he probably has a few combos of slowplayed set on the flop, and would probably shove his combo draws turn. Still, we have very few equity, makes me wanna fold even more.
Also, checking with Kh seems good.

Thanks for your advice :)

BubbleNedRum 6 years, 5 months ago

i'd either check flop or turn tbh (might be wrong though, because i tend to check too much).
when 3betting 4x we probably have 0 sets on this texture, while he can have them all.

MatoStar 6 years, 5 months ago

I think keep bet/folding on this turn wouldnt be that bad. It is more simple than try to check and reassess on the river which often would be super tough decision.
On this concrete river it would be much clear call than on the others.

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