25NL Zoom deep with top 2, c/r'd on turn in limped pot.
Posted by Hoothoot
Posted by
Hoothoot
posted in
Low Stakes
25NL Zoom deep with top 2, c/r'd on turn in limped pot.
BN: $103.90
SB: $34.54
BB: $25.92
UTG: $24.49
HJ: $38.54 (Hero)
CO: $30.29
SB: $34.54
BB: $25.92
UTG: $24.49
HJ: $38.54 (Hero)
CO: $30.29
No stats or reads.
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
T
J
UTG calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, CO folds, BN calls $0.25, SB calls $0.15, BB checks
UTG calls $0.25, Hero calls $0.25, CO folds, BN calls $0.25, SB calls $0.15, BB checks
Flop
($1.25)
3
J
T
(5 Players)
SB checks,
BB checks,
UTG bets $0.25,
Hero raises to $1,
BN folds,
SB calls $1,
BB folds,
UTG calls $0.75
Turn
($4.25)
3
J
T
2
(3 Players)
SB checks,
UTG bets $0.25,
Hero raises to $3,
SB raises to $8.25,
UTG calls $8
Hero?
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if he does have 33 he knos he's got the virutal nuts but he also knows that his hand is gonna be very vulnerable in a 3way pot OOP and without the initiative, so much to protect against here and already a bunch of action/money in the pot i think it's fair to say that he'd find a 3rd bet on the flop with 33 often for the same reasons he'd do it on the turn he doesn't have to worry about getting it in as he has the nuts, his range for calling still has some draws/top pair but mainly draws and i think altho it's unlikely; that it could make some sort of sense to semi-bluff as you're just punishing a mindonkbet you don't really have to be super strong even tho u have top 2 this is a play u shud make with KJ too and that u could potentially do with a draw or even as a bluff with some sort of equity and i think there are reasons to believe he could get away with a 3bet here
all in all with all the money out there and u still have boat outs if he has 33 i'd just get it in since the fish has shown interest and is likely not folding try to get the most of your equity here on the turn. btw 32hh is a possible combo and i'd end by saying u gotta abuse the limpers as much as u can in position and JTs is certainly a good enough hand to raise pre here
I would call the turn. I did play a bit with CREV and with the assumptions I made and it gave me the result that calling > raising.
You're very behind of 33s and not really that ahead of other hands, besides 2h3h (which I think will fold some decent % of the time).
You are also not that ahead of the fish's getting it in range, with the ranges I estimated you have around 70% vs his range.
Also you'll be seeing the river in position, which may help getting an extra value bet from the fish in case draws miss and it is checked to you.
I think if SB has 33 here he should be raising flop for value from FD and Str8 draws and his turn sizing makes no sense to me, since UTG is showing the will to call anything I think with 33 his raise would be larger on flop/turn.
As played I call since you are IP and I would probably call a bet on a river brick.
board: 3sThJh2s
Hand Equity Wins Ties
TJ 25.66% 171 1,016
Kh9h 26.11% 691 0
33,TJ 48.22% 768 1,016
Your equity is bad, if you call down on blank rivers you are often calling for a split at best. Both players could have TJ and 33, but it is more likely UTG has some combodraw. If you were ahead you should shove to let him pay for his draw, but SB is just too strong for that. Basically you are drawing to a 4 outer, you wouldn't call this raise with a gutshot either so just fold.
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