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25nl raise pair+FD raise to fold out better Ax?

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

25nl raise pair+FD raise to fold out better Ax?

LJ: $10.89
HJ: $11.32
CO: $26.91 (Hero)
BN: $11.33
SB: $28.27
BB: $47.84
UTG: $27.10
UTG1: $25
UTG2: $10.45
Preflop ($0.35) (9 Players)
Hero was dealt 5 A
UTG folds, UTG2 folds, LJ folds, HJ calls $0.25, Hero raises to $0.75, SB folds, BB calls $0.50, HJ calls $0.50
note the limper.
bb is TAG reg 3b about 3% but i assume is very polarized here because of fish limping in pot
Flop ($2.35) A 3 J (5 Players)
BB checks, HJ bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, BB raises to $2.40, HJ calls $1.90, Hero raises to $7.40, BB raises to $26.95, HJ folds, Hero calls $18.76, and is all in
not worried about HJ lead he can have Jx 5x worse FD gutters whatever but once reg bb raises i put him on range of sets, AJ, KQss AK. (unlikely AQ).-

if i was to raise/fold i need about 50% FE (really rough math not exact)
given my equity since im not raise/folding i need about 44% FE (not exact)

gorilla combo counting says he has about 12 value combos and folds 8 (AK) making it ok. but do tags fold AK here? im perceived as nit
Turn ($60.76) A 3 J J (4 Players)
River ($60.76) A 3 J J 2 (4 Players)
Final Pot
BB wins $54.22
im viewed as nit. My math was not exact i dont think it has to be in this spot because it just matters so much what they do with AK AQ

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