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25NL-KK top set on wet turn

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

25NL-KK top set on wet turn

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) CO: $38.95 (Hero)
BN: $25.00
SB: $25.00
BB: $60.98
UTG: $16.09
MP: $25.00
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with K K
UTG calls $0.25, MP folds, Hero raises to $1.00, BN calls $1.00, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.75
UTG is a 71/11 guy. BTN is a 25/21 reg.

Flop ($3.35) 9 Q T
UTG checks, Hero bets $2.00, BN calls $2.00, UTG folds
pretty wet flop- when I cbet and no one raises, I assume who ever calls is pretty capped.
Turn ($7.35) 9 Q T K
Hero bets $3.51, BN calls $3.51
Pretty interesting turn. I cbet because thats what I do, I am wondering if checking here maybe better. Combo wise I feel he has more Jx than Qx as a lot of his Qx would have been 2 pairs OTF so I take it out of his flop calling range, if that makes sense.

So by calling we can stil remain in the hand and try and boat up, but if we cant really call.
River ($14.37) 9 Q T K 8
Hero bets $8.00, BN folds
Final Pot CO wins $13.72
Rake is $0.65

9 Comments

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Samu Patronen 10 years ago

I'm checking the turn. It's hard for you to have bluffs - you should not valuebet thin. We also allow villain to raise us which sucks for us.

As played definitely not betting the river, there's no point doing that.

jaypatel33 10 years ago

I thought river was an easier value bet. Doubtful that he has Jx when he just calls the turn, as the flush draw is out, not saying calling is bad but most will raise, so wasn't sure what he had, but thought it wasn't Jx by the river

taaazz 10 years ago

Looks overplayed to me. :p

I don't think Qx is ever calling you on this turn, and you block KQ + he might raise his 2pair otf to stack-off vs a fish sometimes. (I'm not saying we should expect that all that often, but still sth to keep in mind).

Once you bet, I would just XF riv - I don't think we're getting called by anything worse than a straight once we bet 2 streets from the turn.

Knoxox 10 years ago

I would x/c the turn and bet the river if villain checks. I think it's too thin to get 2 streets of value.

fritzlm 10 years ago

Thiny Willy readless for sure. OTT having the best hand more than half the time (which can be argued) doesn't mean that you have to value bet.

Limp Limpson 10 years ago

you can bet the turn, xf this river. You should have enough Jx to check with.
I dont like checking turn, because I wouldnt wanna check Jx here.

Samu Patronen 10 years ago

I dont like checking turn, because I wouldnt wanna check Jx here.

I don't understand this reasoning..?

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