[25nl] Continue bluffing?

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[25nl] Continue bluffing?

BN: $30.57
SB: $23.35
BB: $31.26 (Hero)
HJ: $18.75
CO: $29.80
I only had 36 hands on the player on the button. He opened 3/3 buttons when he was first to act. He was playing 33/19 over the small sample. I assumed he was a reg due to having a full stack and min opening the btn.
Preflop ($0.35) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt J T
HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.50, SB folds, Hero calls $0.25
Flop ($1.10) 3 2 Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $0.52, Hero raises to $1.60, BN calls $1.08
I x/r here as it's a dry board and people at 25nl fold wayyyy too much to x/r in general. I also have a couple of back door draws.
Turn ($4.30) 3 2 Q 4 (2 Players)
Hero bets $3.10, BN calls $3.10
In my plan of check/raising the flop this turn is quite good for me.
River ($10.50) 3 2 Q 4 A (2 Players)
This is where it becomes tricky. I miss my flush outs on the river, so do I bet here? I obviously have 0 showdown value here but does he always just have a set or AQ? In my mind at the time he can have a decent amount of QX (QT+) and small/middle pocket pairs.

I also am aware that I don't rep anything but a set as in his eyes, if he's a thinking player, I'm 3betting AQ, QQ and AA pre close to 100%. So that only leaves me with 33 and 22, as I can't see myself x/r 44 on the flop with close to 0 equity.

2 Comments

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PhisyFishy 10 years, 5 months ago

If you are C/R JT, i'd guess you have 56s and A5 at least some of the time to add to your value range right? Maybe 45s too?

Once you C/R the flop and bet the turn, i think i'd feel inclined to bet this river too. He can have plenty of Qx that is gonna have a really hard time calling now.


Samu Patronen 10 years, 5 months ago

A is a good card for us to barrel in my opinion because A should not hit villains range that much, and we can certainly have hands like A5/43s/44 or something like that. Villains range contains hands like QT/Q9/Q8/Q7/JJ/TT and those hands have a hard time calling. Decent spot to bluff imo but not THE greatest.

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