[25NL, 9max] Top set, sizing of river bet too high?
Posted by Joran Böhmer
Posted by
Joran Böhmer
posted in
Low Stakes
[25NL, 9max] Top set, sizing of river bet too high?
Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - http://www.handconverter.com/hands/2711488
The DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
UTG+1: $26.18 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 2,2, VPIP EP: 17, Flop CB: 49, Turn CB: 58, Hands: 17557
MP1: $32.48 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 2,4, Hands: 73381
MP2: $13.99 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 5, AF: 3,2, Hands: 66180
Hero (CO): $25.35 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 3,8, Hands: 312836
BTN: $25.56 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 18, 3B: 10, AF: 2,5, Hands: 609
SB: $13.11 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 2,8, Hands: 3923
BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 5
UTG: $25.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 2,3, Hands: 41982
Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with 9h 9s
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 3 folds
Flop: ($1.85) 2c 7c 5s (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10
Turn: ($4.05) 9c (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $2.70, Hero raises to $5.75, UTG+1 calls $3.05
River: ($15.55) 3h (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $17.75
What do you think of the sizing of my river bet. Is it too high or am I getting a lot of value here from lower sets (and maybe KK/AA?)
Loading 4 Comments...
not sure if 20/14 is raising 22/55 or even 77 utg+1 in a FR game.
You're mostly targeting KK+ with a club. Assuming the villain does not have crazy high WTSD, I'd bet fairly small, since we have/rep flushes/sets too well + its easy to valuecut ourselves too, villain might decide to not 3b flushes ott. Like 5-6$ looks fine.
I put in a VPIP EP stat as well, he's not positional aware. It's a thing I didn't see while playing this hand. I looked it up after I saw him showing QTcc. I don't think the play would be very different though and I think I should've bet 5-6$ indeed and fold to a raise.
No, you want to polarize and look like a bluff, a smaller bet shall be called just as often as an overbet, winning you far more if you get called, obv.
"a smaller bet shall be called just as often as an overbet"
just not happening in reality against 90% of villains
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