2/5 NL river bluff
Posted by Bill
Posted by
Bill
posted in
Mid Stakes
2/5 NL river bluff
Villain in this hand is a pretty straightforward TAG-ish player who gets a little passive on later streets and generally avoids big pots/tough spots. I had seen him 3-bet a couple times but then step off the gas in later streets. I'm playing $675, he has me covered.
-UTG +2 opens to $20, I flat on the button with AsJh. HU to flop.
Pre-flop I feel is standard and I'm happy to play pots with him, in position particularly because I feel I can take pots away on later streets and have stronger hand reading skills. He has also shown to be somewhat passive post-flop.
-Flop: JsQs4h
-Villain checks, I bet $28, he calls.
-Turn: Ks
-Villain bets $65, I raise to $175, he calls.
-River: 6h
-He checks, I bet $400 (essentially all-in).
Thoughts? I'll post river decision later.
Loading 13 Comments...
But I do think you need to be careful though, because I doubt you raise the turn very thin for value and are basically repping only flushes, of which there aren't many combos.
A. He bets same amount.
B. He checks again.
What is your action and why?
B) I'd make a small bet because I feel like we're almost freerolling this bet in a sense. By this I mean that given that he's shown weakness by checking twice and we have the blocker to the nuts it seems really unlikely that we get check raised. With that said, even if we do happen to get check raised we can call given our draw to the nuts. The bet is basically thin value/ protection to perhaps get called by a hand like 10s10x or J10.
What you're up against is whether or not he's capable of folding a hand like KQ or AT here (more likely hands imo than a small flush and his line - given that he is PFR ). My experience in live games is that opponents aren't really thinking about your hand/line being polarized so much as the absolute value of their own hand - his decision probably won't have anything to do w/ how many combos of flushes you can have.
A couple other subconscious things in your favor:
- You bet $400 instead of all-in, looks less bluffy to some players.
- He has you covered, TAG/straightforward players don't like to lose huge chunks of their stack during a winning session on big river calls. He can definitely call a turn raise hoping he gets to showdown w/o committing to the hand on the river.
That's a great point and something I have been trying to be more aware of. When I raised the turn, I had already decided that I was pot'ing the river because once he calls the turn I feel he polarizes his range even more. However to the average player, folding a hand like AT is hard even though the story I was telling was for him to fold based on my range. If I thought I had a decent % of winning at SD, I would have checked behind. It may just be that he decided he was calling any non-spade/board pair river and no bet amount would have stopped him.
Villain agonized for a bit and eventually called with 9cTc
As played, the river jam is mandatory unless you have some explo-reason to think he's a station in these spots. His range is screaming "I never have a flush" with the wild exception of 4Xss that he decided to play this way which should be pretty rare. I also don't expect him to chk/call flop with AT very often so it sounds like you *almost* got him to fold out his entire range (given that T9 is pretty much his nut hand).
Any time you have a super sweet blocker and you have a good chance of folding out their whole range, it's generally a good spot to let her rip. WP.
On a K or a Q probably not and on a jack I'd probably take our showdown value as we've sort of over represented our hand on the turn so I wouldn't expect to get call by worse much at all if we value jammed. If the 4 paired maybe, maybe not, depends on my mood.
Be the first to add a comment